Probabilities For Profit - A Performance Forward Look At Three Of My Twelve U. S. Sectors

I also recommend focusing on the "losers." Greed is fine but profits come from knowing the difference between the winners and the losers. It is simple to do so: 

a) Eliminate the Losers and you have the Winners; 
b) Identify the winners by knowing and understanding both their fundamentals with their valuation and probability for profit;
c) Employ a proven technical / cycle analysis
d) Voila, you have a consistent methodology for profiting in the stock market.

Appealing to your greed (with a smile)

I believe what I have shared above is both a unique and profitable methodology of "Investing Wisely."


Of my 12 Sectors, currently two are currently losers, three more are on the edge of becoming losers and seven remain relatively strong and on a hold. For reference, just six months ago there was only one loser. Of the other 25 groupings the picture is much more bearish. My forecasts suggest that within the next six months, perhaps less, a notable number, though not all of my sectors, will become losers.

It is simple mathematics with a few caveats, when there are mostly bullish sector, industry groups and companies you have a bull market. It should be somewhat obvious that when, "vice-versa" occurs your have a bear market. The latter is in the making.

The trick is knowing the bulls from the bears! I do that task very well because I actually live with those critters. As this never ending process occurs, indices (INDU, Nasdaq, S&P, etc.) will be taking hits or pull-backs that will clearly confirm to you that a bear market is in the making. This has been occurring for many months now!

I sincerely hope you conclude that having an archive of all this (favorable/unfavorable/also-ran) data is an extremely valuable resource. One that provides direction and guidance to me as the analyst and for you to invest exclusively where the probabilities for future profits are.

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