Nasdaq Jumps To New Intraday High

Markets have jumped hard today on a variety of good news for equities. The Nasdaq has reached a level not seen since the dotcom boom of 2000 and both the S&P 500 and the Dow have also jumped up in early trading today.

Investors have reacted positively to the latest news from the Fed that the economy is firming up and while it is looking like rates are going up, the central bank is not quite ready to boost them just yet and may let the economy run a bit more before easing off the throttle.

Highlights from the Fed's latest FOMC meeting included the following:

Economic activity has been expanding moderately after having changed little during the first quarter. The pace of job gains picked up while the unemployment rate remained steady.

Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable.

The Committee expects that, with appropriate policy accommodation, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace, with labor market indicators continuing to move toward levels the Committee judges consistent with its dual mandate.

Inflation is anticipated to remain near its recent low level in the near term, but the Committee expects inflation to rise gradually toward 2 percent over the medium term as the labor market improves further and the transitory effects of earlier declines in energy and import prices dissipate.

The Committee today reaffirmed its view that the current 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate remains appropriate. In determining how long to maintain this target range, the Committee will assess progress--both realized and expected--toward its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation

The Committee anticipates that it will be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate when it has seen further improvement in the labor market and is reasonably confident that inflation will move back to its 2 percent objective over the medium term.

The Committee currently anticipates that, even after employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for some time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels the Committee views as normal in the longer run. (emphasis added)

We thus see a Fed that is properly balancing inflation concerns with efforts to promote full employment. While it is often tough to read the tea leaves, here we have a clear restatement of the Fed's dual mandate (manage inflation and promote employment) and a clear indication that they are prepared to keep rates low until they are sure the labor market has properly recovered. Thus it appears as though equities will remain the only game in town for a while longer.

Below, we present the top-twenty stocks that trade on the NASDAQ 100. They were selected according to their one-year forecast figures. Members can always screen for these stocks using our advanced screening page HERE.

Read our Complete Detailed Valuation Report on Gilead Sciences HERE.

Below is today's data on GILD:

Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD) is an independent biopharmaceutical company that seeks to provide accelerated solutions for patients and the people who care for them. They have a broad-based focus on developing and marketing drugs to treat patients with infectious diseases, including viral infections, fungal infections and bacterial infections, and a specialized focus on cancer. They have expertise in liposomal drug delivery technology, a technology that the company uses to develop drugs that are safer, easier for patients to tolerate and more effective.

The company is currently ranked at the top in the NASDAQ 100 based on one-year forecast return. Biotech firms like Gilead have been leading the NASDAQ rally today and helped set the new intraday high.

VALUENGINE RECOMMENDATION: ValuEngine continues its STRONG BUY recommendation on GILEAD SCIENCES for 2015-06-17. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that GILEAD SCIENCES has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size and Sharpe Ratio.

 

ValuEngine Forecast

 

Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

120.30 1.20%

3-Month

121.53 2.23%

6-Month

125.47 5.55%

1-Year

136.00 14.40%

2-Year

136.42 14.75%

3-Year

85.91 -27.73%

 

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

12.30% overvalued

Valuation Rank

38

1-M Forecast Return

1.20%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

99

12-M Return

46.39%

Momentum Rank

91

Sharpe Ratio

1.44

Sharpe Ratio Rank

98

5-Y Avg Annual Return

36.66%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

97

Volatility

25.52%

Volatility Rank

68

Expected EPS Growth

10.01%

EPS Growth Rank

44

Market Cap (billions)

179.35

Size Rank

100

Trailing P/E Ratio

12.23

Trailing P/E Rank

88

Forward P/E Ratio

11.12

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

83

PEG Ratio

1.22

PEG Ratio Rank

41

Price/Sales

6.53

Price/Sales Rank

15

Market/Book

32.32

Market/Book Rank

4

Beta

0.72

Beta Rank

63

Alpha

0.26

Alpha Rank

89

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 63.55% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 26.77% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more.  ALL sectors are calculated to be overvalued--with eight at or near double digits.

  VE View vs. S&P 500 Index Past Five Years

 

VE View

S&P 500

Ann Return

19.75% 14.13%

Ann Volatility

21.06% 11.13%

Sharpe Ratio

0.94 1.27

Sortino Ratio

1.55 1.56

Max Drawdown

-34.94% -11.14%

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued

36.45%

Stocks Overvalued

63.55%

Stocks Undervalued by 20%

12.73%

Stocks Overvalued by 20%

26.77%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector

Change

MTD

YTD

Valuation

Last 12-MReturn

P/E Ratio

Medical

-0.47%

1.24%

14.25%

21.20% overvalued

14.80%

30.19

Aerospace

0.05%

0.59%

5.69%

18.58% overvalued

-4.43%

21.81

Computer and Technology

-0.32%

0.52%

8.00%

15.06% overvalued

6.94%

31.17

Business Services

-0.16%

1.60%

5.45%

14.64% overvalued

4.11%

24.50

Multi-Sector Conglomerates

-0.50%

-0.74%

2.85%

13.00% overvalued

0.70%

22.47

Retail-Wholesale

0.07%

0.10%

1.55%

12.99% overvalued

7.73%

26.22

Consumer Staples

-0.07%

1.03%

5.37%

11.64% overvalued

1.30%

24.36

Consumer Discretionary

-0.01%

0.66%

9.42%

10.93% overvalued

1.19%

27.73

Finance

0.02%

1.09%

4.34%

7.58% overvalued

3.08%

17.69

Oils-Energy

-0.78%

-1.12%

-0.54%

7.00% overvalued

-34.63%

24.54

Auto-Tires-Trucks

-0.22%

-0.34%

4.44%

5.46% overvalued

-4.76%

16.86

Industrial Products

-0.44%

0.47%

4.34%

4.95% overvalued

-4.32%

20.60

Transportation

-0.15%

-0.16%

1.06%

4.07% overvalued

0.72%

18.46

Construction

-0.03%

0.75%

3.03%

2.43% overvalued

0.93%

24.58

Basic Materials

-0.26%

-0.09%

1.72%

2.38% overvalued

-14.40%

24.24

Utilities

-0.47%

-0.79%

1.44%

2.15% overvalued

-5.66%

21.91

Disclosure: None.

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