E Lead-Lag Roles Of The Financial And Energy Sectors

In September, I wrote an article on the opposite lead-lag roles of the financial and energy sectors. Historically, the former has been a leading sector or first to move while the latter has been a lagging sector or last to move - both in up trends and down trends. 

The first chart shows the S&P 500 index in the upper pane and its financial sector index in the lower pane. The financial sector is down 13.6% for the year while the parent index is down 2.8% year-to-date. Also note that the broad market topped out in late September while financials reached their top in late January. In late October, the sector made new one-year lows and again last week.

The second chart shows the energy sector index in comparison to the S&P 500 index. The energy sector is down 14.5% YTD and has been making a series of new one-year lows after making a triple top.

 

Disclosure: The analysis provided here is usually part of the analysis the author uses when he is designing and managing his investment portfolios. 

Disclaimer: The analysis presented ...

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