Is Gold Signaling Inflation?

The current market situation shows a quick attempt to push a smaller stimulus bill by the end of December before eviction protection and unemployment benefits end.

If failed it could potentially leave as many as 19 million people at risk from becoming evicted.

This potential strain on the market could be the reason that safety plays such as gold (GLD) and  20 year U.S bonds (TLT) have moved up recently as worries grow over cut benefits.

Above you can see a chart of TLTs showing a potential double bottom pattern from its recent low at 154.77. Additionally, GLD has made a comeback from 166 and is now looking to make a phase change if it closes over the 50 day moving average at 176.50.

With that said, Nasdaq did make a new all-time high as did the Russell 2000 IWM. Hope springs eternal.

In the meantime, the early dip in food commodities was bought up by investors along with gold, silver and gold miners. Steel continues to rise and a new shining trade-uranium woke up this past week.

With the dollar weak, bonds yields falling again, more stim behind this stop gap measure if passes, and a potential rally in oil and energy, inflation is still very much on our minds for 2021.

 

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