Gundlach: Debt-Financed Share Buybacks Turned Stock Market Into High-Risk CDO
Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital LP, has some interesting thoughts on debt, stock buybacks, and leverage.
Please consider Gundlach's Slideshow on Debt Financed Buybacks.
Corporate Credit as Percentage of GDP
Investment Grade Has Shorter Maturity Than High Yield
US Corporate BBB Debt
BBB debt is one step above junk.
Rise of the Zombie
In the US, 15% of the companies in the S&P 500 are Zombie Corporations.
Zombie firms are those that are unable to cover debt servicing costs from current profits over an extended period.
If they cannot refinance, they go under.
Zombies crowd the S&P 1500: pic.twitter.com/JY827OAebS
— Greg Gaylor (@SMUMustangAlum) September 23, 2018
Junk Rated Bonds
On December 28, I noted Suddenly There's No Appetite for Bond Deals as Spreads Widen.
Never before have there been so many bonds this close to junk.
Bond Market Breakdown (August 2018)
- AAA $0.11 Trillion
- AA $0.59 Trillion
- A $2.60 Trillion
- BBB $3.15 Trillion
- BB $0.57 Trillion
- B $0.52 Trillion
- C $0.16 Trillion
Fed on Hold
The Powell Fed is now on hold. It cannot possibly matter one bit. It's simply Too Late to Matter.
The Powell Fed is now on hold. It cannot possibly matter one bit. It's simply Too Late to Matter.
— Mike Mish Shedlock (@MishGEA) January 11, 2019
The time to worry about bubbles is before, not after you blow them.