GBP/USD Ends The Week Lower As Bearish Turnaround Steepens

GBP/USD closed Friday at a fresh five-week low of 1.2622, marking the Cable's third straight down week. The Bank of England’s (BoE) midweek rate hold did little to spark confidence in the GBP, and a late-week upswing in US Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) kicked broad-market risk appetite lower, lifting the US Dollar heading into the trading week’s close.

UK Retail Sales lurched higher to 2.9% MoM in May, snubbing the forecast move down to 1.5% from the previous month’s revised -1.8% contraction. UK PMIs also came in mixed, with the S&P Global/CIPS Manufacturing PMI for June rising to 51.4 against the forecast 51.3 and the previous month’s 51.2. The Services PMI contracted sharply to a seven–month low of 51.2, entirely missing the forecast uptick to 53.0 from 52.9.

On the US side, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for June rose to 51.7 versus the forecast downtick to 51.0 from the previous 51.3. The Services PMI also thumped expectations, rising to almost a two-year high of 55.1 versus the expected softening to 53.7 from 54.8.

With upbeat US economic data crimping odds of an early rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed), market sentiment backed up into the safe haven Greenback on Friday.

UK economic remains thin heading into next week, leaving Sterling traders to wait for next Friday’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) print. US economic data prints are also relegated to mid-tier releases early next week, with the US’ own GDP update slated for next Thursday.


GBP/USD technical outlook

GBP/USD has locked in a third straight down week as the Sterling extends a slump against the Greenback. The pair fell to a five-week low, setting a fresh low for the week early Friday at 1.2622. Cable tumbled -0.92% peak-to-trough from the week’s peak bids near 1.2740.

Daily candlesticks are facing a steepening bearish decline after a rejection from a supply zone near the 1.2800 handle. Candles are on pace to fall back to the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2586.


GBP/USD hourly chart

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GBP/USD daily chart

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Today last price 1.2644
Today Daily Change -0.0014
Today Daily Change % -0.11
Today daily open 1.2658


Daily SMA20 1.2741
Daily SMA50 1.262
Daily SMA100 1.264
Daily SMA200 1.2555


Previous Daily High 1.2724
Previous Daily Low 1.2655
Previous Weekly High 1.286
Previous Weekly Low 1.2657
Previous Monthly High 1.2801
Previous Monthly Low 1.2446
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2681
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2698
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2634
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.261
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2565
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2703
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2748
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2772

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