February 2021 CoreLogic Home Prices: Home Price Growth Reaches 15-Year High

CoreLogic's Home Price Index (HPI) home prices reaching the highest annual gain since April 2006.

.... Rising mortgage rates and severe supply constraints are pushing already-overheated home prices out of reach for some prospective buyers ....

Analyst Opinion of CoreLogic's HPI

Price growth exceeded my forecast for the year - home prices are continuing very strong.

According to CoreLogic:

.... revisions with public records data are standard, and to ensure accuracy, CoreLogic incorporates the newly released public data to provide updated results.

Dr. Frank Nothaft, chief economist at CoreLogic stated:

The run-up in home prices is good news for current homeowners but sobering for prospective buyers. Those looking to buy need to save for a down payment, closing costs and cash reserves, all of which are much higher as home prices go up. Add to that a rise in mortgage rates and the affordability challenge for first-time buyers becomes even greater.

HPI Case-Shiller Trends - Year-over-Year Growth

Frank Martell, president, and CEO of CoreLogic stated:

Homebuyers are experiencing the most competitive housing market we've seen since the Great Recession. Rising mortgage rates and severe supply constraints are pushing already-overheated home prices out of reach for some prospective buyers, especially in more expensive metro areas. As affordability challenges persist, we may see more potential homebuyers priced out of the market and a possible slowing of price growth on the horizon.

CoreLogic analysis also shows homebuyers have steadily moved away from densely populated, high-cost coastal areas in favor of more affordable suburban locales. The number of homebuyers in the top 10 metros with the largest net out-migration — including West Coast metros like Los Angeles, San Francisco, and San Jose — who chose to move to another metro increased by 3 percentage points in 2020 to 21% from 2019. This sentiment is reflected in CoreLogic's recent consumer survey, which found that 57% of current non-homeowners on the West Coast feel the home options in their area are not at all affordable.

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