Container Giant Owens-Illinois Debuts At Number One On SP500 Top-Stock List

ValuEngine tracks more than 7000 US equities, ADRs, and foreign stock which trade on US exchanges as well as @1000 Canadian equities.  When EPS estimates are available for a given equity, our model calculates a level of mispricing or valuation percentage for that equity based on earnings estimates and what the stock should be worth if the market were totally rational and efficient–an academic exercise to be sure, but one which allows for useful comparisons between equities, sectors, and industries. Using our Valuation Model, we can currently assign a VE valuation calculation to more than 2800 stocks in our US Universe.

We also use trading data to provide forecast estimates for a variety of time horizons for almost ever equity in our database. Our Buy/Sell/Hold recommendations are based upon the 1-year forecast return figure. Using valuation and forecast figures, you can rank and rate our covered stocks against each other, to find out, in an objective and systematic way, the most attractive investment targets based on your own risk/reward parameters. We re-calculate the entire database every trading day, so you are assured that every proprietary valuation and forecast datapoint is as up-to-date as possible.

We can use our data to track individual stocks, industries, sectors, and indices. For today’s bulletin, we present key metrics for the top picks in the S&P 500. The companies listed below represent the top-ten BUY/STRONG BUY stocks within the index. They are presented below according to their one-month forecast target prices.

This week, we saw a 40% turnover for our list since the last time we looked at the SP500 in December. Our new leader is Owens-Illinois (OI). Our last number one pick, Navient Corp, dropped to third. Other decliners include UNUM Group and Hewlett-Packard Enterprise.

Our other newcomers are Principal Financial, Borg Warner, and Morgan Stanley. We also had three firms improve their positions this week–Lincoln National, HP Incorporated, and Discover Financial Services.

We have a top-ten list that is dominated by Finance Sector firms this time around. In addition, Discover, Principal Financial, Borg Warner and Morgan Stanley are BUY-rated companies. The remaining firms are all considered STRONG BUY stocks.

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

1-M Forecast Retn

1-Yr Forecast Retn

P/E Ratio

Sector Name

Dec. 29, 2016

OI

OWENS-ILLINOIS

19.83

-0.51%

56.64%

1.32%

15.91%

8.58

Industrial Products

NAVI

LNC

LINCOLN NATL-IN

68.92

11.13%

75.68%

1.25%

15.02%

10.66

Finance

HPE

NAVI

NAVIENT CORP

15

14.40%

61.12%

1.21%

14.62%

8.18

Finance

LNC

HPQ

HP INC

14.99

12.66%

50.35%

1.13%

13.54%

9.25

Computer and Technology

UNM

UNM

UNUM GROUP

45.77

16.07%

60.65%

1.06%

12.73%

11.67

Finance

AMAT

DFS

DISCOVER FIN SV

68.77

7.02%

49.34%

1.06%

12.71%

11.83

Finance

R

PFG

PRINCIPAL FINL

57.2

5.52%

50.72%

1.05%

12.66%

12.43

Finance

URI

BWA

BORG WARNER INC

41.03

-17.89%

37.82%

1.05%

12.65%

12.55

Auto-Tires-Trucks

DFS

MS

MORGAN STANLEY

42.7

8.50%

66.08%

1.04%

12.44%

14.12

Finance

HPQ

HPE

HEWLETT PKD ENT

22.59

N/A

63.81%

1.02%

12.23%

11.53

Computer and Technology

TWX

NOTE: New stocks are in BOLD.

Below is today’s data on our SP500 top-ten leader, Owens-Illinois (OI):

Owens-Illinois, Inc. manufactures and sells glass container products to food and beverage manufacturers primarily in Europe, North America, South America, and the Asia Pacific. The Company produces glass containers for malt beverages, including beer and ready-to-drink low-alcohol refreshers, liquor, wine, food, tea, juice and pharmaceuticals. It also produces glass containers for soft drinks and other non-alcoholic beverages. Owens-Illinois, Inc. is headquartered in Perrysburg, Ohio.

ValuEngine continues its STRONG BUY recommendation on OWENS-ILLINOIS for 2017-02-01. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that OWENS-ILLINOIS has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE P/E Ratio and Price Sales Ratio.

ValuEngine Forecast

 

Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

20.09 1.32%

3-Month

20.12 1.45%

6-Month

20.49 3.31%

1-Year

22.99 15.91%

2-Year

19.46 -1.86%

3-Year

18.44 -7.00%

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

0.51% undervalued

Valuation Rank(?)

67

1-M Forecast Return

1.32%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

100

12-M Return

56.64%

Momentum Rank(?)

81

Sharpe Ratio

-0.17

Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)

35

5-Y Avg Annual Return

-4.82%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

37

Volatility

28.14%

Volatility Rank(?)

57

Expected EPS Growth

9.52%

EPS Growth Rank(?)

37

Market Cap (billions)

3.27

Size Rank

78

Trailing P/E Ratio

8.58

Trailing P/E Rank(?)

96

Forward P/E Ratio

7.84

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

93

PEG Ratio

0.90

PEG Ratio Rank

46

Price/Sales

0.49

Price/Sales Rank(?)

85

Market/Book

6.35

Market/Book Rank(?)

21

Beta

1.58

Beta Rank

18

Alpha

0.12

Alpha Rank

67

ValuEngine Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued

34.35%

Stocks Overvalued

65.65%

Stocks Undervalued by 20%

13.81%

Stocks Overvalued by 20%

29.41%

ValuEngine Sector Overview

Sector

Change

MTD

YTD

Valuation

Last 12-MReturn

P/E Ratio

Industrial Products

0.39%

0.44%

3.34%

22.20% overvalued

34.79%

24.73

Multi-Sector Conglomerates

0.07%

0.11%

2.99%

16.59% overvalued

27.85%

19.80

Finance

-0.02%

0.01%

1.58%

14.56% overvalued

23.35%

18.06

Computer and Technology

0.04%

0.15%

4.61%

13.04% overvalued

25.38%

29.88

Business Services

-0.27%

-0.23%

1.09%

12.11% overvalued

17.06%

23.62

Utilities

-1.17%

-1.11%

1.06%

11.75% overvalued

18.59%

22.62

Aerospace

-0.06%

-0.02%

2.41%

11.62% overvalued

27.93%

20.03

Oils-Energy

0.16%

0.21%

2.77%

10.13% overvalued

43.80%

28.70

Auto-Tires-Trucks

0.34%

0.39%

2.17%

8.86% overvalued

38.79%

14.79

Transportation

-0.14%

-0.09%

4.67%

8.33% overvalued

28.66%

19.86

Consumer Staples

-0.00%

0.03%

1.44%

8.28% overvalued

12.16%

23.83

Basic Materials

0.60%

0.76%

8.88%

8.23% overvalued

90.30%

27.12

Construction

0.19%

0.22%

2.05%

6.83% overvalued

39.23%

20.88

Consumer Discretionary

-0.13%

-0.08%

1.53%

4.48% overvalued

23.00%

24.84

Retail-Wholesale

-0.28%

-0.22%

-2.05%

0.64% undervalued

8.83%

22.90

Medical

0.46%

0.57%

4.95%

2.62% undervalued

5.45%

27.51

Disclaimer: ValuEngine.com is an independent research ...

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