Comparing Recent U.S. Presidents: New Debt Added Vs. Precious Metals Production

  2021P 2022P 2023P 2024P 2025P 2026P 2027P 2028P 2029P 2030P
U.S. Public Debt 21.9T 23.3T 24.5T 25.7T 26.8T 27.9T 29.0T 30.4T 31.8T 33.5T
Debt-to-GDP ratio 104.4% 105.6% 106.7% 107.1% 107.2% 106.7% 106.3% 106.8% 107.4% 108.9%

By 2030, debt will have risen by over $12 trillion from 2020 levels and the debt-to-GDP ratio will be almost 109%.

It’s worth noting that debt will likely grow substantially regardless of who is elected in the 2020 U.S. election. Central estimates by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget show debt rising by $5 trillion under Trump and $5.6 trillion under Biden through 2030. These estimates exclude any COVID-19 relief policies.

What Could This Mean for Investors?

As the U.S. Federal Reserve creates more money to finance rising government debt, inflation could eventually be pushed higher. This could affect the value of the U.S. dollar.

On the flip side, gold and silver have a limited supply and coin production has decreased over the last three presidential terms. Both can act as an inflation hedge while playing a role in wealth preservation.

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