Breakout Imminent... 10-Year Treasury Bond At All-Time Low. Explains The Bull Market

We have been going nowhere for a couple of years. Within that process the emotions of all traders were tested over and over. Many times it appeared that the market was about to break down. Action was terrible on price and their oscillators, and that bad action was accompanied by poor economic reports. One after another, they came in poorly. Just when all hope seemed lost for the bulls they'd pull some magic trick, also known as fed-magic dust. A QE program here. A bail out there. Low rates forever everywhere kept the markets from breaking down. It was good to be the fed. You needed a bull to keep the economy going through those 401K reports. It didn't always work though because the market couldn't break out.

What most failed to understand was that, although it didn't break out, it was able to hang tough and not lose critical support. So, it was actually working very well, even though we weren't seeing a price breakout in equities. The market, it seemed, needed a real catalyst on the positive side of the ledger on the economy. A few days back I wrote that I thought the Jobs Report could be that catalyst. The Jobs Report came in today as the bulls hoped, and off we went. Blasting higher and closing in on the 2134 level. A close above 2134, with force, would confirm things, and set the market off to a possible parabolic, I have to get in, rise. The bulls are in full control. The bears are against it here. It's now or never for them. If we forcefully get through 2134, the bears are done for and they know it. It appears the one catalyst came true for those bulls, and now the market can finally bury the bears once and for all.

So why has the market been able to break so high on price? The answer is simple. On July 6th the 10-year Treasury Bond hit the lowest reading in history. 1.37%. No one wants to put themselves in that type of instrument. It doesn't work for the long term. Folks want a chance to make some real money, and with rates so low on every instrument around, the only place to get strong potential returns are in the stock market, and, thus, the fed Yellen has accomplished her mission. She knew if she kept rates low the market would rise and eventually break out. If she took away the cookie jars everywhere the children will find the best possible place to play their game.

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