April Showers May Bring New Car Drivers?

US Auto Sales Rebound In April

Preliminary sales data indicates that good times for major auto manufacturers--with a few exceptions--returned in April as analysts forecast a 5% sales increase for the overall industry over the past month.

“Following a disappointing March, we expect sales to get back on track in April with SAAR in the mid-17 million range,” Tim Fleming, analyst for Kelley Blue Book, said in an email. “Increased fleet sales and rising incentive spending among automakers remain the factors to watch, but retail demand appears to be holding steady, signaling the industry’s strong run isn’t over quite yet.”

Fiat/Chrysler posted a 4.6% gain, Nissan posted a 13% increase, Honda sales were up 12%, Toyota had a 4.8% pick up, and Ford saw a 4.5% leap in April sales.

On the other hand, Volkswagen is in trouble in the US due to the continued fallout from their emissions-cheating scandal. GM once again lagged their competitors with a decline of 2.3% overall despite an increase in sales on the retail end for several of its brands. Fleet sales hampered them overall. And of course, trouble-wracked VW trailed all competitors with a decline of 2.6%.

Credit seems to be driving these strong sales figures, as low interest rates and favorable, long-term financing deals are causing customers to finance cars for even longer periods of time. Some consumers are now taking out seven-year car loans! We also see some warning signs from sub-prime car loans, with more delinquencies there.

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Retrn

1-M Forecast Retn

1-Yr Forecast Retn

P/E Ratio

Country Code

DDAIF

DAIMLER AG

70.55

-16.68%

-27.51%

0.07%

0.86%

7.95

DEU

F

FORD MOTOR CO

13.62

-11.09%

-13.85%

0.38%

4.55%

6.16

USA

FCAU

FIAT CHRYSLER

8.21

N/A

-43.96%

N/A

N/A

4.64

GBR

GM

GENERAL MOTORS

31.75

-13.63%

-10.36%

0.54%

6.48%

5.76

USA

HMC

HONDA MOTOR

27.11

-4.49%

-20.78%

0.05%

0.57%

10.99

JPN

ISUZY

ISUZU MOTORS

10.52

N/A

-21.14%

N/A

N/A

9.91

JPN

NSANY

NISSAN ADR

17.86

-13.46%

-14.13%

0.35%

4.24%

7.95

JPN

TM

TOYOTA MOTOR CP

102.47

-16.03%

-26.79%

0.06%

0.73%

8.73

JPN

TSLA

TESLA MOTORS

241.8

17.24%

6.98%

-0.08%

-1.00%

N/A

USA

VLKAY

VOLKSWAGEN-ADR

31.72

N/A

-36.88%

N/A

N/A

7.13

DEU

Here Is complete data on one of our top Auto stocks:

General Motors Company (GM) is engaged in the designing, manufacturing and retailing of vehicles globally including passenger cars, crossover vehicles, and light trucks, sport utility vehicles, vans and other vehicles. Its business is organized into three geographically-based segments- General Motors North America (GMNA), General Motors International Operations (GMIO) and General Motors Europe (GME). General Motors Company is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan, the United States of America.

Recommendation: We continues with a BUY recommendation on GENERAL MOTORS for 2016-05-02. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that GENERAL MOTORS has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE Company Size and P/E Ratio.

 

ValuEngine Forecast

 

Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

31.92 0.54%

3-Month

32.15 1.27%

6-Month

32.40 2.05%

1-Year

33.81 6.48%

2-Year

32.50 2.37%

3-Year

28.96 -8.79%

 

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

13.63% undervalued

Valuation Rank

71

1-M Forecast Return

0.54%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

86

12-M Return

-10.36%

Momentum Rank

49

Sharpe Ratio

-0.01

Sharpe Ratio Rank

55

5-Y Avg Annual Return

-0.18%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

55

Volatility

29.66%

Volatility Rank

58

Expected EPS Growth

2.42%

EPS Growth Rank

27

Market Cap (billions)

51.01

Size Rank

99

Trailing P/E Ratio

5.76

Trailing P/E Rank

98

Forward P/E Ratio

5.62

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

96

PEG Ratio

2.38

PEG Ratio Rank

18

Price/Sales

0.33

Price/Sales Rank

88

Market/Book

1.44

Market/Book Rank

62

Beta

1.69

Beta Rank

17

Alpha

-0.08

Alpha Rank

45

Market Overview

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued

52.5%

Stocks Overvalued

47.5%

Stocks Undervalued by 20%

21.85%

Stocks Overvalued by 20%

14.94%

Sector Overview

Sector

Change

MTD

YTD

Valuation

Last 12-MReturn

P/E Ratio

Basic Materials

-0.49%

-0.37%

34.93%

15.09% overvalued

10.74%

28.64

Consumer Staples

0.56%

0.61%

6.43%

9.56% overvalued

-1.58%

23.77

Industrial Products

0.17%

0.25%

7.57%

9.51% overvalued

-10.05%

20.96

Utilities

0.61%

0.67%

7.58%

8.80% overvalued

-1.18%

24.62

Multi-Sector Conglomerates

0.81%

0.83%

6.50%

4.70% overvalued

-3.62%

20.59

Oils-Energy

-1.24%

-1.12%

11.33%

4.00% overvalued

-36.24%

23.21

Aerospace

0.63%

0.81%

-1.48%

2.03% overvalued

-5.96%

18.03

Construction

0.37%

0.42%

20.53%

0.93% undervalued

-3.13%

21.31

Finance

0.36%

0.40%

1.53%

1.85% undervalued

-5.11%

15.74

Computer and Technology

0.13%

0.23%

6.19%

2.41% undervalued

-8.36%

26.58

Business Services

0.19%

0.28%

8.68%

2.62% undervalued

-9.05%

21.97

Consumer Discretionary

0.53%

0.58%

2.69%

2.69% undervalued

-9.15%

23.80

Medical

-0.02%

0.11%

-3.52%

6.33% undervalued

-18.56%

26.31

Retail-Wholesale

0.30%

0.38%

0.25%

8.26% undervalued

-14.31%

22.78

Auto-Tires-Trucks

0.24%

0.28%

1.66%

9.27% undervalued

-15.26%

12.85

Transportation

-0.09%

-0.01%

4.87%

9.83% undervalued

-26.57%

13.65

Valuation Watch: Overvalued stocks now make up 47.5% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 14.94% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Seven sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

Disclosure: None.

Disclaimer: ValuEngine.com is an independent research provider, producing buy/hold/sell recommendations, ...

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