Our primary focus is on post earnings price movement. Knowing how likely a stock's price will move following an earnings report can help you determine the best action to take (long or short). In other words, we analyze what happens when the company beats or misses the whisper number expectation.

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) is expected to report earnings on Wednesday, Nov. 29th. The whisper number is $0.41, in-line with the analysts' estimate and showing little confidence from the WhisperNumber community. Whispers range from a low of $0.38 to a high of $0.45. American Eagle has a 59% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 19 of the 32 earnings reports for which we have data). 

Earnings history: 

- Beat whisper: 19 qtrs
- Met whisper: 4 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 9 qtrs 

The table below indicates the average post earnings price movement within a one and thirty trading day timeframe:

Our data shows an average -1.4% price move in ten trading days if AEO tops the whisper number, and a +5.9% price move in twenty trading days if they fall short of the whisper. This is known as an 'opposite' price reactor. Last quarter AEO topped the whisper number by one cent and realized a 3.3% gain in five trading days. 

Guess? (GES)

Guess? (GES) is expected to report earnings on Wednesday, Nov. 29th. The whisper number is $0.14, in-line with the analysts' estimate and showing little confidence from the WhisperNumber community. Guess has a 78% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 14 of the 18 earnings reports for which we have data). 

Earnings history: 

- Beat whisper: 14 qtrs
- Met whisper: 0 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 4 qtrs

The table below indicates the average post earnings price movement within a one and thirty trading day timeframe:

Our data shows an average +4.4% price move in ten trading days if GES tops the whisper number, and a -8.8% price move in twenty trading days if they fall short of the whisper. This is known as an 'as expected' price reactor. Last quarter GES topped the whisper number by seven cents and realized a 6.8% loss in five trading days. 

Donaldson Co. (DCI)

Donaldson (DCI) is expected to report earnings on Thursday, Dec. 1st. The whisper number is $0.31, four cents behind the analysts' estimate and showing no confidence from the WhisperNumber community. Donaldson has a 63% positive surprise history (having topped the whisper in 26 of the 41 earnings reports for which we have data). 

Earnings history: 

- Beat whisper: 26 qtrs
- Met whisper: 2 qtrs
- Missed whisper: 13 qtrs 

The table below indicates the average post earnings price movement within a one and thirty trading day timeframe:

Our data shows an average price move of +2.4% in thirty trading days if DCI tops the whisper number, and a price move of -5.2% in thirty trading days if they fall short of the whisper. This is known as an 'as expected' price reaction. Last quarter DCI reported earnings one cent short of the whisper number and realized a 1.4% loss in five trading days.