Conventional wisdom has long held that value stocks and growth stocks work in different ways, and therefore wouldn’t be found in the same mutual fund. In recent years it has become increasingly difficult to tell the difference between a value and growth manager’s portfolio. With more common holdings than ever, what does this overlap mean for your investment choices—and what do you need to know when constructing a portfolio for your clients?
An unlikely pairing
The popularity of value and growth has ebbed and flowed over the years. Nearly two decades ago, with value in the doldrums, some value fund managers closed shop. But to give our clients the best chance of pursuing their financial goals, we need to stay true to what we know and remain invested for the long run, regardless of which factor is driving the market. While returns on value funds have lagged their growth counterparts recently, have you ever wondered if your client portfolios are tilted more toward value or growth—and how stocks are categorized as value or growth? Put more simply, how are value and growth stocks defined?
Value stocks tend to be characterized by low price-to-earnings (P/E) and low price-to-book (P/B) ratios, while growth stocks generally have high P/E and high P/B ratios. Value stocks generally have fundamentals to support higher valuations (excluding value traps) but have fallen out of favor among market participants. Growth stocks, meanwhile, may be seen as having above-average earnings growth and may also seem expensive and overvalued. But many stocks can have a mix of both characteristics.
A good example of this is Apple, the technology giant. By most holdings-based measures, it could be considered a growth stock, based on its expected earnings potential. At the same time, it could also be considered undervalued, based on a manager’s valuation. Its P/E is 20.3x, roughly the same for the Russell 1000 Index's average of 20.4x P/E. While you may have your particular view of whether Apple is a growth or value stock, both growth and value managers have good arguments to include it in their funds.
What’s in your portfolio?
Have you stopped to consider the overlap of value and growth stocks in your client portfolios? It has become increasing difficult to delineate between value and growth, as many funds hold overlapping securities. For example, the overlap in stocks between one U.S. all-cap value portfolio and the S&P 500 Growth Index is 71%, up from 60% just five years ago.1
Most fund managers use some sort of risk model to categorize stocks based on past returns or more common holdings-based measures, including weighted average of P/E, P/B and possibly other factors. A recent Morningstar article found that the value funds which have performed the best recently have been “casting a wider net” and redefining value parameters.2 For example, technology companies have larger intangible assets that may not be fully recognized by a risk model’s holdings-based measures.
Remember, leadership rotates
The chart below shows the rolling five-year excess return performance of the Russell 1000 Value Index, compared to the Russell 1000 Growth Index, as of December 2019. As you can see, over the long-term, value has outperformed growth. This confirms the widely held notion that value outperforms growth. But from the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) to present-day, growth has outperformed. That’s an awfully long time at the top. This leads us to think value may be coming back soon to rule the roost— and shows why we believe investors should have exposure to both.
(Click on image to enlarge)
Value vs. Growth: Rolling five-year excess return performance. Source: Morningstar Direct. Value: Russell 1000 Value Index, Growth: Russell 1000 Growth Index. Index returns represent past performance, are not a guarantee of future performance, and are not indicative of any specific investment.
The bottom line
Given the potential for differing views and the rotation of different factors, wouldn’t it make sense to allocate to both? We think so. At Russell Investments, our portfolio managers often have strategic weights to both the value and growth factors within our portfolios. We believe a properly constructed portfolio should be diversified across factors to avoid periods of under-performance over the entire market cycle, in much the same way as we champion global diversification.
By paying attention to overlap in your portfolios and diversifying factor risk, we believe you’ll help your clients stand a better chance of performing well in most markets—not to mention potentially enjoying a smoother ride along the way.
1 Source: Morningstar Direct, Russell Investments
2 www.morningstar.com October 8, 2019 “Value vs Growth: Morningstar Analysts Open Their Notebooks; “Forest lands or The Next Big Thing.
Disclosures
Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Russell 1000 Index: An index of approximately 1,000 of the ...
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Disclosures
Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Russell 1000 Index: An index of approximately 1,000 of the largest companies in the U.S. equity market
Russell 1000 Value Index: Measures the performance of the broad value segment of U.S. equity value universe. It includes those Russell 1000 companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values.
Russell 1000® Growth Index: Measures the performance of the broad growth segment of the U.S. equity universe. It includes those Russell 1000 companies with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values.
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