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U.S. Inflation is In Line with Historical Readings, Despite Tariff Fears

In the wake of U.S. President Donald Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ reciprocal tariff rollout in April, stocks plummeted and many investors sold their stocks. In addition to the temporary market spook, the Trump Administration’s tariff policy triggered inflation fears, especially among left-leaning economists and market participants. For instance, in a November 2024 interview, former U.S. Treasury Secretary and famous economist Larry Summers stated that Trump’s economic plans would lead to a “a more inflationary policy by far than what happened under President Biden in 2021.” Recall that in 2022, CPI inflation spiked to 9%, marking the highest inflation rate in 40 years.

Thus far, the expected “3^rd wave” of inflation has not occurred. The consumer price index (CPI) is hovering around 3%, right in line with historical norms.

Image Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics

Nevertheless, the adverse post-COVID inflation still lingers, and many consumers are struggling. Additionally, many analysts believe that there will be a delayed inflationary reaction to President Trump’s tariff policies.

Bessent’s Vision: A 1990s-esque Productivity Boom

Current U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, a Wall Street legend known for helping George Soros to “break the Bank of England” and make a billion dollars in a single day, has a plan to combat inflation and spur economic growth. The U.S. will take a page from the late 1990s ‘productivity boom,’ when interest rates were low, inflation was under control, and innovation was front and center.

Regardless of where one stands on the inflation debate, one thing is certain – the Trump Administration has proven it will do whatever it can to spur AI-driven productivity growth to win the global AI race.

Robotics: The Next Wave of AI Growth

Already President Trump has appointed the first-ever ‘AI Czar’, removed cumbersome regulations, and unveiled the ‘AI Action Plan,’ a plan focused on accelerating innovation, building AI infrastructure, and leading in international diplomacy and security. Currently, Wall Street investors are infatuated with the first wave of AI: large language models such as ‘ChatGPT’ and ‘Gemini.’

Robotics Stocks to Watch

However, earlier this week President Trump announced his plan to issue a robotics-specific executive order in 2026. Meanwhile, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick has been meeting with robotics CEOs to help accelerate the industry. Additionally, industry experts such as Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) CEO Lisa Su see ‘physical AI’ as the next long-term growth opportunity. Below are stocks from five key verticals to monitor as the next wave of AI emerges:

Humanoid/Industrial/Automation/Manufacturing Robots:

Tesla ((TSLA - Free Report) ), Honeywell International ((HON - Free Report) ), Teradyne ((TER - Free Report) ), UiPath ((PATH - Free Report) ).

Drone/Defense:

Ondas Holdings ((ONDS - Free Report) ), Unusual Machines ((UMAC - Free Report) )

Delivery/Logistics:

Serve Robotics ((SERV - Free Report) ).

Consumer:

iRobot ((IRBT - Free Report) ).

Robotics Industry:

VanEck Robotics ETF ((IBOT - Free Report) ).

Bottom Line

Policymakers are determined to drive productivity through AI and robotics. Although many investors are hyper-focused on LLMs, they would be wise to shift some attention to the coming robotics revolution.

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