The stock market continued to grind its way higher last week, even as it traded off following Friday’s substantially weaker than expected September Employment Report, which led the market to finish the week with a stubbed toe. Candidly, following the missed relative to expectations results from restaurant company Darden (DRI), we were bracing for a weaker than expected employment print and we were not disappointed.

We expect to see further hurricane reverberations this week in economic data and the earnings reports to be had. We talked about some of this on last week’s Cocktail Investing Podcast as well as reviewed the growing number of 2017 holiday shopping forecasts that favor online and mobile shopping. We see that as confirming not only for our Connected Society investing theme, but for our position in Amazon (AMZN) on the Tematica Investing Select List.

On the Economic Front

Following last week’s economic smorgasbord, which we recapped for your reading pleasure in the Weekly Wrap, the coming week sees a far slower pace of economic data. Make no mistake, while the number of reports is smaller week over week, there are still a few doozies to be had this week. These include the inflation bearing figures in the September PPI and CPI reports. Over the last few months, the PPI report has not sparked a sense of rising prices, and excluding the rise in gasoline prices the other components of the monthly CPI report echoed the PPI readings.

As we discussed in last week’s Cocktail Investing Podcast, “Inflationistas” were harping on the surge in Prices component of the September ISM Manufacturing Report and odds are we will some confirming data this week. As we shared, that month over month jump was likely due impact of the hurricane trifecta that hit during September, and is more likely than not going to be transitory in nature. That said, this could be the data the Fed has been looking for to justify its expected December rate hike.

We’re likely to see some disruption in the September Retail Sales as the impact of all three hurricanes is felt. September auto & truck sales moved sharply higher for the month at all manufacturers, and odds are Hurricane Irma means another strong month is to be had in October. We’re likely to see other retail categories “thrown a bone” as consumers replace what was lost or destroyed. However, given the state of the consumer (rising debt, tepid wage growth, and generally under saved) this near-term bump in retail sales is likely to be a pull-forward in demand plain and simple.

Inside the monthly Retail Sales report, we’ll be looking for evidence of the accelerating shift to digital shopping as we soon enter the 2017 holiday shopping season. On last week’s podcast, we recapped the several 2017 holiday shopping forecasts that have been published, and discussed the growing influence of digital shopping, especially mobile shopping.

On the Earnings Front

The trickle of corporate earnings reports we saw last week picks up some this week, but it’s still small potatoes compared to what will be unleashed beginning next Monday (Oct. 16). Among the reports to be had, we’ll be digging into comments from Barracuda Networks (CUDA) on recent cyber attacks and what they mean for our Safety & Security theme. While Delta Air Lines (DAL) likely saw some hurricane disruption, it’s comments on international travel trends will be fodder for our Rise & Fall of the Middle Class investing theme.

As we mentioned above, last week we parsed the 2017 holiday shopping forecasts, but we’ll look for further insight from Cashless Consumption contender Blackhawk Networks (HAWK) this week. Amid conflicting September economic data that we discussed in Friday’s Weekly Wrap, we’ll look to comments and guidance from JB Hunt Transportation (JBHT) to get a clearer view on the true speed of the economy. Finally, comparing results at Del Frisco’s Restaurant (DFRG) with the recent Retail Sales reports should reveal the resiliency to be had with our Affordable Luxury theme.