Dividends By The Numbers In March 2021 And 2024-Q1

The first quarter of 2024 continued following the template set during 2023 for dividend paying stocks in the U.S. stock market.

That template has some defining characteristics, measured year-over-year:

  • Fewer firms announced dividend cuts, a favorable change.
  • Fewer firms announced dividend rises, an unfavorable change.

Together, these two characterists set the stage for a mixed outcome for dividend paying firms during 2024-Q1, at least as measured year over year, where the point of comparison is 2023-Q1.

Quarter-over-quarter, the situation also appears mixed. But this time that's because:

  • More firms announced dividend cuts, an unfavorable change.
  • More firms announced dividend rises, a favorable change.

Both these mixed outcomes can be seen in the chart tallying the number of U.S. firms either increasing or decreasing their dividends by quarter, covering the five quarters from 2023-Q1 through 2024-Q1.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Number of U.S. Firms Increasing and Decreasing Dividends by Quarter, 2022-Q4 through 2023-Q4

We have to go to the monthly changes to find data that suggests a more favorable situation may be starting to develop in the U.S. stock market. Here, when we compare March 2024 to the year-ago month of March 2023, we find that year-over-year:

  • Fewer firms announced dividend cuts, a favorable change.
  • More firms announced dividend rises, also a favorable change.

The numbers aren't big, but we'll take our silver lining where we can find it! The number of dividend rises and decreases reported each month over the last 20 years to put these numbers into their long term context.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Number of Public U.S. Firms Increasing or Decreasing Their Dividends Each Month, January 2004 - January 2024

The following table provides the numbers that back our observations. It summarizes Standard and Poor's dividend metadata for March 2024, show8nig how it compares in both Month-over-Month (MoM) and Year-Over-Year (YoY) terms with previously reported data:

Dividend Changes in March 2024
   Mar-2024  Feb-2024    MoM  Mar-2023    YoY
Total Declarations 5,306 5,386 -80 ▼ 4,654 652 ▲
Favorable 200 396 -196 ▼ 173 27 ▲
- Increases 130 305 -175 ▼ 124 6 ▲
- Special/Extra 67 90 -23 ▼ 44 23 ▲
- Resumed 3 1 2 ▲ 5 -2 ▼
Unfavorable 15 21 -6 ▼ 53 -38 ▼
- Decreases 15 21 -6 ▼ 53 -38 ▼
- Omitted/Passed 0 0 0 ◀▶ 0 0 ◀▶

Our sampling of January 2024's unfavorable dividend actions found just six firms announcing decreases in dividend payments to their shareholding owners. Here's the very short list:

We'll close on that positive note and will hope April 2024 builds on that positive momentum for the U.S. stock market's dividend paying firms!


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