Daily Stock Pick: Bloomin' Brands (BLMN)

A portfolio of stocks I've been building since September 3 is named Volio. It will eventually hold 52 dividend dogs. Volio is the fifth portfolio I've built (at a one dividend dog per-week pace) since 2014. Five portfolios = V for Volio!

Today I'm reviewing the fifth of five Consumer cyclical sector stocks striving to join my Volio folio. This could be the twentieth pick for Volio!

That cyclical sector includes twenty-eight industries ranging from Advertising Agencies to Apparel, Autos, Broadcasting, Department Stores, Gambling, Leisure, Lodging, Packaging, Personal Services, Shoes, Restaurants, Rubber, Plastics, Textiles, and all such consumer aimed enterprises.

My subject today is another small-cap restaurants company named, Bloomin' Brands Inc. Their trading ticker symbol is BLMN.  This is my second report on BLMN. I last reported on them back on Halloween, October 31, 2019, for this same Volio portfolio. Time for another look.

Bloomin' Brands Inc operates as a casual dining restaurant company. Its brand includes Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse and Wine Bar.

The company owns and operates its restaurants, and the remainder is franchised. It derives revenue mainly from the United States, but the company has presence in Brazil and South Korea with company-owned Outbacks and Carrabbas. In addition, it also has exposure to several countries, predominantly in Asia, principally through franchising.

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.

I use three key data points to gauge dividend-paying equities or funds like

Bloomin' Brands Inc (BLMN):

(1) Price

(2) Dividends

(3) Returns

Besides those three, several other keys will finally unlock an equity or fund in which to invest, or not.

Those three basic keys, however, best tell whether a company has made, is making, and will make money.

BLMN Price

Bloomin''s price per share closed at $22.11 yesterday. A year ago its price was $19.23. So, in the past year, its price increased by $3.12, or just over 16.2%.

Assuming Bloomin''s stock trades in the range of $15 to $25 this next year, its recent $22.11 price could rise by $1.89  to reach $24.00 by January 17, 2021, assuming upward price momentum returns.

BLMN Dividends

Bloomin''s latest declared quarterly dividend was $0.10 per share paid November 27th

That $0.10 Q dividend equates to $0.40 annually and yields 1.81% based on yesterday's $22.11 closing price.

BLMN Gains?

Adding the $0.40 annual estimated dividend to my $1.89 estimate of Bloomin' Brands Inc (BLMN) price upside shows a $2.29  potential gross gain, per share, which will be reduced by any costs to trade these shares.

As for costs, if we put a little under $1,000.00 today in Bloomin' Brands Inc at its recent $22.11 price, would buy 45 shares of BLMN.

A $10 broker fee paid half at purchase and half at sale could cost us about $0.22 per share.

Subtract that $0.22 brokerage cost from the estimated $2.29 gross estimated gain per share leaves a net gain of $2.07 X 45 shares = $133.65 or a 13.35% net gain on a $994.95 investment.

Therefore, Bloomin' Brands Inc, whose trading ticker symbol BLMN shows a possible 13.35% net gain including a 1.81% dividend yield. It could be more, it could be less.

The above speculation is based on past year performance. The actual results remain to be seen to learn if Bloomin' Brands Inc (BLMN), is worth your time and money.

Disclosure: This article was compiled by Rydlun & Co., LLC from data derived from www.ycharts. com; www.finance.yahoo.com; analyst median target price by YCharts.

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