Daily Stock Analysis: Greenbrier Companies (GBX)

A new portfolio of stocks I started building on September 8, named Vista, will select its second stock this coming weekend. Vista is the sixth portfolio I've built (at a one dividend dog per-week pace) since 2014. Six portfolios = VI for Vista!

Vista is planned to Look Ahead for Outstanding, Proven, Dividend Winners. (Like Aristocrats)

Today we'll review the second of five industrials sector stock candidates vying to be the third selection in the Vista portfolio.

My subject today is a railroad company named, Greenbrier Companies Inc. Its trading ticker symbol is GBX. This is my first ever report on Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) for any of my dog of the week portfolios.  

Greenbrier Companies Inc designs, manufactures, and markets railroad freight car equipment in North America and Europe, marine barges in North America, and provides wheel services, railcar refurbishment, and parts, leasing, and other services to the railroad industry. 

Its reportable segments include Manufacturing, Wheels, Repair and Parts, and Leasing and Services. The company generates a majority of its revenue from the manufacturing segment.

The company owns or provides management services to a fleet of approximately 380,000 railcars for railroads, shippers, carriers, institutional investors, and other leasing and transportation companies. 

The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Lake Oswego, Oregon.

I use three key data points to gauge dividend equities or funds like Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX):

(1) Price

(2) Dividends

(3) Returns

Those three basic keys best tell whether a company has made, is making, and will make money. 

GBX Price

Greenbrier's price per share closed at $27.97 yesterday. A year ago its price was $29.99. Price fell $2.02 or just over 6.7% last year.

If Greenbrier's stock trades in the range of $14 to $40 this next year, its recent $27.97 price might rise by $5.03 to reach $33.00 by September 22, 2021. 

GBX Dividends

Greenbrier's most recently declared quarterly dividend was $0.27 paid August 19th and will total $1.08 annually and yield 3.86% at yesterday's $27.97 closing price.

GBX Gains?

Adding the $1.08 annual anticipated dividend to my $5.03 optimistic estimate of BGX's price upside shows a $6.11 potential gross gain, per share, to be reduced by any costs to trade the shares.  

If we put little over $1,000.00 today in Greenbrier Companies Inc. at $27.97, we would buy 36 shares of GBX stock.

A $10 broker fee paid half at purchase and half at sale could cost us about $0.28 per share.

Subtract that $0.28 brokerage cost from my estimated $6.11 gross gain per share results in a net gain of $5.83 X 36 shares = $209.88 for a 20.9% net gain on a $1,006.92 investment.

Thus, Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX) shows a possible 20.9% net gain including a 3.86% dividend yield. It could be more, it could be less.  

All of the estimates above are speculation based on the past history of Greenbrier Companies Inc. (GBX). Only time and money invested in this stock will determine its worth.

Disclaimer:  This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed to constitute investment advice. Nothing contained herein shall constitute a ...

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