Constellation Brands Upgraded To Buy From Neutral At Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs analyst Judy Hong upgraded Constellation Brands (STZ) to Buy while lowering her price target for the shares to $211 from $243. The stock closed yesterday down 12.5%, or $21.57, to $150.94 post the company's Q3 earnings report.

Constellation is down over 30% in the past 12 months, mostly driven by multiple contraction, Hong tells investors in a research note. The analyst reduced her estimates to reflect a "softer outlook" but sees a "compelling" risk/reward at current share levels. Her model yields a $195 per share value for the core business excluding Canopy Growth (CGC) and a consolidated price target of $211, pointing to 40% upside. Beer sales growth should remain healthy and beer margins should improve in fiscal 2020 as cost headwinds are lapped, Hong contends.

Further, she believes Constellation shares could outperform even if investors assign zero value to its investment in Canopy. 

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