Can Travel Sites Beat Market Expectations?

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Photo Credit: stevep 2008

Disney (DIS) Releasing: 8/8/17 AMC

The Estimize consensus calls for EPS of $1.57, two cents higher than the Wall Street’s consensus of $1.55. Currently, the Estimize community is looking for revenues of $14,557M, slightly higher than the Street’s expectation for $14,442M.

Despite Disney’s popularity among adults and children alike, its stock has been trading at the same price since early 2015, a concerning statistic for investors. However, Disney’s bottom line is projected to grow from $5.72 per share to $8 per share. Unlike most stock’s where looking at the stats could tell us all we need to know, Disney’s intangible factors could play a huge role in its futures stock growth. For example, Disney’s CEO, Bob Iger is set to leave Disney in July 2019; who will take over could for sure impact the stock. Likewise, Disney’s recent movies have not been raking in the revenue that its originals have. To top things off, Disney’s ESPN franchise has been going through some major changes lately, including firing 100+ employees to accommodate the changing media market. Regardless, Disney may still be a long term investment. Disney has and always will be a hotspot for families, meaning it will continue to innovate and surprise followers with new attractions, movies, franchises, etc.

Priceline (PCLN) Releasing: 8/8/17 AMC

The Estimize consensus calls for EPS of $14.47, a bit higher than the Wall Street’s consensus of $14.27. Currently, the Estimize community is looking for revenues of $3,004M, slightly higher than the Street’s expectation for $2,996M.

The U.S. and European economies are strengthening, a fact that bodes well for travel companies such as Priceline. Investors are loving Priceline right now due to their nearly 40% stock growth in just a year, a sales growth forecast of 15.5% over the next two years and a 13% earnings growth in just 2017. Likewise, PCLN recently acquired Kayak for just $1.8 billion, as well as Open Table and Momondo for $550 million. However, some analysts are warning us to be wary of so much growth in so little time. Some things they are saying to look at is the fact that their P/E ratio has rarely topped 45 and if it does, it is rarely able to sustain those levels. The Estimize community is also looking at some KPI’s, including Total Bookings and Room Nights growth, with estimates coming in at $21,273M and 26.29% respectively. Total Bookings is projected to grow 14% YoY and Room Nights is projected to grow 8% YoY.

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Disclosure: There can be no assurance that the information we considered is accurate or complete, nor can there be any assurance that our assumptions are correct.

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