Thursday, February 11, 2021 3:41 AM EDT
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
|
|
Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Week of February 15 |
|
|
February 16 |
|
|
NY Fed Manufacturing Index |
5 |
3.5 |
|
|
|
February 17 |
|
|
Retail Sales - January |
0.6% |
-0.7 |
Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.8 |
-1.4 |
|
|
|
Producer Price Index - January |
0.3% |
0.3 |
Core PPI (PPI ex Food, Energy, Trade Services) |
0.2 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
Industrial Production - January |
0.4% |
1.6 |
Manufacturing Output |
0.5 |
0.9 |
Capacity Utilization |
74.8 |
74.5 |
|
|
|
Business Iinventories - December |
0.3% |
0.5 |
|
|
|
February 18 |
|
|
Housing Starts - January |
1.650M |
1.669 |
Building Permits |
1.670 |
1.709 |
|
|
|
Philadelphia Fed Survey |
20.00 |
26.5 |
|
|
|
Export Prices - January |
1.0% |
1.1 |
Import Prices |
1.0 |
0.9 |
|
|
|
NAHB Index - February |
83 |
83 |
|
|
|
February 19 |
|
|
Existing Home Sales - January |
6.560M |
6.760 |
|
|
|
Week of February 22 |
|
|
February 22 |
|
|
Leading Indicators - January |
0.3% |
0.3 |
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
8.5 |
7.0 |
Chicago Fed National Activity Index |
0.40 |
0.52 |
|
|
|
February 23 |
|
|
S&P Case/Shiller Index - December |
|
|
Twenty City M/M |
0.8% |
1.1 |
Twenty City M/M - SA |
1.2 |
1.4 |
Twenty City Y/Y |
9.9 |
9.1 |
|
|
|
FHFA Housing Market Index - December |
0.8% |
1.0 |
Consumer Confidence Index - February |
90.0 |
89.3 |
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
14 |
14 |
|
|
|
February 24 |
|
|
New Home Sales - Jan |
855K |
842 |
|
|
|
February 25 |
|
|
Durable Goods Orders - January |
1.5% |
0.3 |
|
|
|
GDP - Q4 (p) |
4.0% |
4.0 |
Pending Home Sales - January |
125.5 |
125.5 |
|
|
|
February 26 |
|
|
International Trade in Goods - January (a) |
-$83.2B |
-82.5 |
|
|
|
Personal Income - January |
11.0% |
0.6 |
Personal Spending |
0.5 |
-0.2 |
|
|
|
Chicago PMI - February |
60.0 |
63.8 |
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