Downside Protection For Tesla

Astronauts onboard the SpaceX Dragon capsule approach the International Space Station on May 31st (photo via SpaceX).

Tesla Shares Rocket Higher

At the end of May, Elon Musk's SpaceX sent two astronauts into space - the first manned launch from U.S. soil in nine years. Also at the end of May, Tesla (TSLA) made our list of top ten names. Since then, the stock's up 256%. 

Still Bullish, But Others Have Issues

Our system is still bullish on Tesla. Our analysis of total returns and options market sentiment put Tesla in the top ten again on Wednesday. It was the only name from the May 28th top names cohort to appear in the November 25th cohort. Others, however, have suggested Tesla's valuation may have gotten ahead of itself. 

Rajesh Sawhney noted that Tesla's market cap is greater than that of Mercedes (DDAIF), Subaru, Ford (F), Fiat (FCAU), BMW (BMWYY), Nissan (NSANY), Mazda (MZDAF), Hyundai (HYMLF), and Aston Martin (AMGDF) combined. 

Bloomberg's Joe Wiesenthal noted that Elon Musk is now richer than Bill Gates. 

Wiesenthal also suggested that Tesla's spike was a bubble driven by desperate speculators. 

Maybe It's Worth Hedging Here

Even if you're bullish on Tesla, it might make sense to hedge here, in the event the stock corrects in the near term (as it did earlier this year). Here's one way to do that. 

Crash Protection For Tesla

I tried hedging 100 shares of Tesla against a greater-than-20% decline over the next several months two ways: ones with optimal puts (uncapped upside) and once with an optimal collar (capped upside).

Uncapped Upside - Unavailable

On Wednesday, if you scanned for an optimal put to hedge Tesla against a >20% drop over the next 6 months, you would have gotten this error message.

Screen capture via the Portfolio Armor iPhone app.

What "net cost exceeds threshold" means is that the cost of hedging against a >20% decline was more than 20% of your position value. So, by buying that hedge, you would have incurred more than the loss you were looking to prevent.

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