Things You Can't See From There

I live in Israel. At the moment, we are going through another bout of war with Hamas. While the rockets are bigger and are coming in larger salvos these flareups are a sadly regular occurrence. But something else is happening now. Something new.

Widespread ethnic rioting within Israel itself.

The lessons of this rioting have tremendous bearing on the United States and other countries at risk of sectarian division.

Israeli society is loosely held together. There are undercurrents of resentment and anger between lots of ethnicities. Knitting together a multi-ethnic society is hard. The *Jews* in Israel often have a hard time of it - with tensions across lines of religious and national origin.

Somali Wild Ass, Desert, Negev, Israel

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One can watch and simply hope that they generally improve. I was *delighted* to see that an Arab party might be included in a right-wing or centrist government. I was delighted to see the Abraham Accords. These things heralded a new era - in which "the Arabs" and "the Jews" were not necessarily enemies.

Now, it is all falling apart. Yesterday, in cities with Arab and Jewish populations - cities that represented coexistence - there were anti-Jewish pogroms.

Today, there are anti-Arab pogroms as well.

Only a few weeks ago, the ethnic lines were cracking. A new light was just beginning to shine.

And I think that's exactly why we have the situation we have now.

The current tensions, by my reading, were sparked not by Sheikh Jarrah (a contested neighborhood in Jerusalem) or police on the Temple Mount. The tensions were sparked by the Palestinian elections. The PA is supposed to have elections every four years. The last parliamentary elections were in 2006. Fatah (the PLO party) and Hamas agreed to elections in May of this year.

Why does this matter? Because when March 31st arrived and official lists were needed, Marwan Barghouti’s wife and a few other breakaway members of Fatah formed a party separate from Fatah. The opinion polls showed Hamas would have 30% of the vote while Fatah would have 22%. The new party would have 28%. Fatah - Mahmoud Abbas' party - realized they'd lose.

Fatah needed reasons to cancel the elections. They started with Jerusalem voting. On April 29th (less than two weeks ago), they used that lever to cancel the elections. But as Reuters put it "many Palestinians regarded the Jerusalem issue as an excuse to avoid elections that Fatah might well lose to its Islamist rivals Hamas, as it did in the last parliamentary ballot in 2006."

The Jerusalem story didn't fly. So it was time for another excuse. It was time for a little violence. After all, in a pinch you can always blame Israel for your cancelled election.

So tensions ramped up. We had people chanting "Bomb Bomb Tel Aviv!" on the Temple Mount. We had a drive-by shooting officially supported by Fatah (for the first time in years). We had a Border Police station attacked by three men.

Well, Hamas couldn't be outdone in the violence game. That is, after all, the basis of their legitimacy. So on Jerusalem Day (often a needlessly provocative day of Jewish triumphalism) they saw Fatah's few riots on the Temple Mount and raised them with rocket attacks on Jerusalem itself.

Israel, of course, had to retaliate.

All of this was entirely *normal*. It was just two Palestinian factions trying to kill Jews for internal political purposes.

But something *wasn't* normal: The Abraham Accords. Egyptian planes coming to Tel Aviv with their actual flags flying. The religious Arab Ra'am Party perhaps joining a right-wing or centrist Israeli government.

What wasn't normal was that, for the first time in Israel's history, *Arabs* could see there was no need for ethnic conflict with Israel. There was another path opening. They could not only be a part of government but use their political leverage to secure real benefits from their position. This would be akin to large numbers of African Americans being willing to vote Republican. The sudden need to court these once guaranteed Democratic voters would increase the power of African American voters to influence *both* parties.

This sort of ethnic shift - in which the sectarian lines between Arabs and Jews were fracturing - would be a death blow to both Fatah and Hamas.

Remember one thing both sides agree on is that Jews can not be allowed to live on their territory. The ethnic conflict is critical to them.

So, Fatah and Hamas fomented riots in mixed Arab-Jewish cities.

And this was not normal.

Synagogues and schools were burned and homes were attacked. Jews shot people coming to attack their neighborhoods - perhaps in self-defense. The Arab Ra'am party called on the rioters to stop. They said they had been misled by Islamic preachers. The Arab-Jewish Hadash party called for the rioters to stop. But the other purely ethnic Arab parties didn't.

Riots spread to Lod, Acre, Jaffa and Haifa. These weren't protests, they were pogroms.

And all of a sudden, all those Jews who had wondered whether their Arab neighbors were secretly hoping to attack them had their worst fears confirmed.

A day later and there are anti-Arab riots. Jewish leaders across the spectrum - including those leaders of hard-right parties - have called for Jewish rioters to stop. But they haven't. And so all those Arabs who had wondered whether their Jewish neighbors were secretly hoping to expel them have had their worst fears confirmed.

And now we have an ethnic conflict, fully rekindled, courtesy of the fears of Hamas and Fatah.

What can we do? How do you unmake an ethnic conflict? How do you take away from the kindling that sets it aflame? How do you dispel the distrust?

These mixed cities, places like Ramle and Lod, were troubled places. But they represented the possibility of a better future.

Now?

Now, they represent a nightmare.

Here's what I hope will happen.

I hope the left-of-center Lapid, the right-wing Bennet and the Arab Ra'am Party’s Abbas form a government *now*. I think Ra'am needs a *prominent* position in that government and all parties need to strongly speak out in support of that government.

If the lowest levels are falling apart, then it is urgent for the highest levels to hold together.

This government should seek to cool tensions on both sides. How? Water down the nation-state law as an unnecessary distraction and provocation. Create an Arab-focused police force (populated with a higher-than-normal percentage of Arab officers). Expand housing permits for Druze and Arab towns.

We could even go so far as to create a special residency permits so vetted families from Gaza can temporarily live in the homes of Arab citizens of Israel.

What about Jewish fears? First and foremost, it must be the declared and primary mission of that Arab-focused police force to suppress violence within the sector. But more can be done. Jews in Israel have a very positive view of the UAE. Invite the UAE to send religious leaders to Israel to host high-profile meetings between Jewish and Arab civic leaders. But don't stop there, use peace-minded leaders from both Arab and Jewish society (including the UAE) to meet with the hoodlums responsible for the violence. Televise those meetings.

Bring the bad actors to task while increasing understanding between the sectors of society.

Show a way past what has occurred.

And then? With the immediate tensions cooled it will be the work of a generation to pull the pieces back together.

In 2016, I wrote "The City on the Heights", a book about unwinding the ethnic war in Syria and Iraq.

I wrote in the epilogue of that book:

"The major fault lines of the society had cracked into thousands of smaller and overlapping lines. People had not assimilated with one another, but the definition of their groups had weakened. My father’s dream became reality. In time, the clear edges of conflict became fuzzy and the City grew further and further from the edges of war."

Today, the United States is under stress. Yes, the economy is expanding but inflation is threatening and increasing numbers of people are depending more and more on transfer payments (rather than productive work) for their livelihoods. Economic distress, combined with ample time, has often fueled ethnic violence.
At the same time, the United States is flirting with its own form of sectarianism. There is a drive to define people (once again) by the circumstances of their birth. There is a drive to divide people by race and other loosely genetic categorizations.

Walking down this road is dangerous. It can turn in unexpected ways. These elements can mix and result in a highly unstable situation.

What are politically expedient definitions – or even righteous calls for justice – can quickly become something else. They can rupture society and undermine any concept of peace. They can rob individuals, all individuals, of their rights as individuals. People simply become members of this or that group.

The further down this road a society travels, the harder it is to return and the harder it is to provide trust, peace and – ultimately – justice.

The riots in Israel ought to scare anybody into building the bridges necessary to have a society in which people are knit together by a thousand different strings - rather than divided by a few sharp lines.

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Related Article: Gaza And Israel – “A Taste Of Armageddon”

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Frank Underwood 2 years ago Member's comment

So when do you think this round of fighting with Hamas will end? And once a ceasefire is declared, will the internal riots end as well?

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

Internal riots might simmer, but not end for a while. Hamas did very well in fomenting them and Israel did a very poor job of blunting them.

Mike Nolan 2 years ago Member's comment

So I'm a bit confused about something and maybe you can clear it up... So Hamas is a terrorist group... but also a political party? And they control Gaza. The Palestinian Authority under Abbas is another, more moderate party. in the last election, ages ago, the terrorists won the election and took over.... but only in Gaza? Are Gaza and the West Bank separate countries with separate elections? Or do they have one election to determine who governs both areas? And if the latter, how did Abbas end up in control of the West Bank even though he lost?

So then I read there were going to be Palestinian elections again for the first time in like 15 years (why so long?). Then I heard they were cancelled. But why? Now I hear that Hamas is a shoe-in to win the next election since they are now more popular than ever on the streets of both Gaza and the West Bank. The reason for their sky rocketing popularity? Because they were able to kill a few Israeli Jewish (and Arab) women and children in Israel, at the expense of a couple hundred of their own people.

None of this makes sense to me. What else am I missing?

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

Technically Gaza and the WB are under the same entity, the Palestinian Authority. There are multiple parties. Abbas leads Fatah. Fatah was deeply surprised in the last elections (2005 or 2006) and has basically cancelled all elections since. They were physically pushed out of Gaza by Hamas (throwing people off buildings etc...). I *think* Fatah won in the last elections in the WB districts, but they also maintain the security forces there - ensuring Hamas hasn't challenged them yet. They lock up Hamas people all the time. But Hamas may well try now.

Hamas is a shoe-in because of their unerring dedication to Israel's destruction as compared to Fatah's deep deep deep corruption.

You have Western eyes. Whichever party delivers the tangible goodies (peace, prosperity, freedom) wins. But there are other eyes, *one* of which is: whichever party delivers Arab/Islamic honor wins. That can be more important than life or even tangible success in delivering victory.

Mike Nolan 2 years ago Member's comment

Thanks, very interesting and helps to clear up a lot of the confusion. But I still find it so odd since you are correct - I have western eyes and the Middle East quagmire makes no sense to me.

Don't the Gazan people realize that Hamas makes their lives harder? I don't even mean the islamic laws they have to live under, but don't they realize that when Hamas fires rockets, it barely hurts Israel at all (it certainly won't wipe the country out), and yet ensures hundreds of Gazans will die in retribution?

So are there going to be elections again? And if so, you think Hamas will win again?

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

Hamas might force elections somehow. They are in the poll position. But I doubt it. There might also be intra-Palestinian violence unless Fatah takes a much harder line with Israel (which they are beginning to do).

Let me give a corollary argument more in line with the West. Let's say there was a government that made it illegal to say what you wanted to. Total lack of freedom of speech, no allowance to criticize the government.

There's a revolutionary group dedicated to speaking out. They regularly get arrested, killed, whatever. Their families and communities also get hit. They seem to have no chance of success.

There's another group that takes money from the government and occasionally says how good it would be if they could say whatever they wanted to. Materially and physically things are better, but they aren't making any progress on the freedom front.

If you had the chance for elections would you vote for the group that says what they want or the group that gets paid to be namby pamby?

Hamas is that revolutionary group and they are very popular because Arab/Palestinian/Islamic supremacy is worth more than everything else - and is worth risking everything else and worth standing up for even if it seems hopeless. Fatah is the corrupt group.

Mike Nolan 2 years ago Member's comment

I get what you are saying. But would my only two choices really be Hamas or Fatah? And you left out the most important part - Fatah may be corrupt, but Hamas would get me killed. No rockets were fired to or from the West Bank.

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

Those are the choices now, in part because both Fatah and Hamas are good at limiting *other* choices. If anybody breaks the basic formation they get castigated as undermining Palestinian rights, polluting Al Aqsa with Jews etc... I think it is important to undermine these forces of conformance - which is why I think Ra'am and the UAE are so important.

Mike Nolan 2 years ago Member's comment

You make a lot of sense. I'm still left a little bewildered by it all. I think you are right that those of us in the West really don't understand the Middle East at all.

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

I know it seems helplessly self-promotional, but I wrote a book that helps put people in the shoes of the locals and thus better understand (and understand what might actually make things better). It is a fiction thriller and so not a dry read at all. City on the Heights by Joseph Cox.

Mike Nolan 2 years ago Member's comment

Thanks for the tip!

James Madison 2 years ago Member's comment

American is a powder keg ready to go off. The hate and distrust between left and right are at an all time high. You are right that I can see the similarities between what is happening in Israel right now. I can also see what the same riots in Israel, boiling over into the US. Just yesterday, Palestinian protesters nearly lynched a man in Times Square in broad daylight. He was narrowly rescued by police.

Wendell Brown 2 years ago Member's comment

Funny how 'nearly lynched' isn't on the news anywhere. Are you watching the QAnon news? Oh, maybe Tucker Carlson? Please provide legitimate source.

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment
Leslie Miriam 2 years ago Member's comment

Wow, thanks for the video link. I can't believe someone can be attacked like that in broad daylight, right in Times Square, just for being Jewish. What is the world coming to?

James Madison 2 years ago Member's comment

@[Leslie Miriam](user:28430), It's happening all over the world right now. Sadly, I believe Trump made it "cool" to hate, and it's now gone mainstream the world over.

James Madison 2 years ago Member's comment

No, @[Wendell Brown](user:5150), I am not a QAnon follower, and this was reported in the media, but barely. And I honest don't understand why. But I see Joseph Cox shared a video of it below. Here were some other articles and videos:

1. www.foxnews.com/.../video-nyc-attack-jewish-palestinian

2. nypost.com/.../man-attacked-at-pro-israel-rally-in-midtown-nypd/

3. thepostmillennial.com/video-shows-aftermath-of-alleged-attempted-lynching-of-jewish-man-by-palestinian-activists-in-nyc

4. jewinthecity.com/.../orthodox-jewish-man-almost-lynched-at-pro-palestinian-nyc-rally/

Adam Reynolds 2 years ago Member's comment

Nice to see some coverage of important global events here. This article on TM also has an interesting take on the conflict:

Gaza And Israel – “A Taste Of Armageddon” talkmarkets.com/.../gaza-and-israel--a-taste-of-armageddon

Danny Straus 2 years ago Member's comment

I agree that with Abbas' Arab Ra'am party about to join the government, it was truly an historic moment for Israel and Jewish/Arab coexistence withing the country. Don't you think that it's possible, that all this - the rocket attacks and the riots - were manipulated to prevent this from happening? It likely would have greatly improved Arab communities standard of living and led to a more normalization of internal relations.

The question is, who is pulling the strings? Iran controls Hamas. But who is instigating the rioters? I saw the pictures of piles and piles of rocks being stored at mosques right before the riots - all this was planned.

Craig Newman 2 years ago Member's comment

Might be who you least expect. Netanyahu has been in power for over a decade and reportedly would do anything, anything to stay in power. He was about to be ousted and replaced with a centrist-left government including the Arab Party. Now he's going to stay in power with a center-right government, with no Arabs. Very convenient timing.

Ayelet Wolf 2 years ago Member's comment

@[Craig Newman](user:7650) Bibi may be committed to staying in power. But he would never form an alliance with Hamas to do so. And they would never with him either. He also wouldn't put Israeli lives at risk. It's kind of a crazy suggestion. And as Mr. Cox said, there was no guarantee it would have worked in his favor.

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

I could see this, but Netanyahu gaining something from this (which apparently he has) was extremely uncertain. He literally could be kicked out of government today if Ra'am, Bennet and Lapid had done what I suggested. The benefits for Bibi were uncertain. The benefits for Hamas and Fatah - in terms of maintaining their position - were undeniable.

Craig Newman 2 years ago Member's comment

It would have been impossible for Ra'am to join the government while their voters are being lynched and beaten in the streets (and doing plenty of rioting and lynching of their own. If you wanted to find a way to keep Ra'am out of the government, this was the only sure way to do it.

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

Not quite. I think Ra'am draws more from the Beduin population in the South (Rahat, Be'er Sheva) where we haven't seen the same rioting. There's a mistake in drawing a single line between Arab and Jew. Both the Jewish and Arab populations (even the Palestinian population), has many different groups with many different experiences, perspectives and interests. That is critical for the future. The harder the lines are drawn (and the fewer lines are drawn) the worse the reality.

Craig Newman 2 years ago Member's comment

I appreciate your insights on this. As much as I thought I knew about the region, you clearly know much more.

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

Nobody really knows, we just try to put ourselves in various people's shoes and understand as best we can.

Susan Miller 2 years ago Member's comment

I understand that Hamas hates Israel and wants to kill all Jews, but I thought Israeli Arabs got along with their Israeli Jewish neighbors. Why are they rioting?

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

"Got along" might be a bit strong. Coexist might be closer. But co-exist has a broad range of reality and is different in different places.

Why riot? It depends on who is rioting. Young hoodlums? Perhaps motivated by Islamic preachers or Palestinian nationalistic fervor. Others might be focused on inequalities - whatever their cause. Recent Arab riots/assaults - prior to this explosion - were focused on Jews buying homes in Arab neighborhoods.

As with many violent protest movements, there are many fathers.

On the Jewish side? I see mostly a reaction to Arab violence - albeit an unacceptable reaction. As with any mob, things have a tendency to spiral out of control.

Perhaps the fuel was provided by coming out of lock down and having the Israeli world re-open. There's a lot of pent up energy and all that was needed was a few well placed sparks.

Susan Miller 2 years ago Member's comment

Thanks for adding some color to the situation. It does make more sense now.

Adam Reynolds 2 years ago Member's comment

A really open look at the situation from Trevor Noah - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NeZ4yXyzUG0

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

Trevor's is an interesting question. I think the answer in the case of the kid is you can do enough to stop the kid from hurting you. Note that if Israel just wanted to kill, they could kill tens or hundreds of thousands in hours. If Israel doesn't go in, a few hundred, or many a thousand will die. They are holding their punches, but they are also not allowing Hamas to hide in media buildings or under residential buildings or all the other places they have stashed rockets. Allowing that sort of behavior just encourages it - treating those places as untouchable just encourages them to store weapons there and launch them from there.

The world's eyes are on Israel. You see condemnations from places like China - or are eliminating an entire culture because of a few knife attacks. Or Syria, where hundreds of thousands have died in the recent civil war and back in the 80s 20-50,000 were killed over a weekend. Or Turkey which, due to a few casualties, invaded Northern Syria and killed thousands and displaced hundreds of thousands. Or the West which killed thousands in Libya when they weren't even threatened. Proportionally, more Israelis were killed in the Second Intifada than Americans on 9/11. And yet America responded with massive wars that killed huge numbers in Iraq and Afghanistan. I'm not saying the situation is good - but the responses of the world can be a little self-serving when coming from people who regularly do far worse in their own defense.

But the real problem with Trevor Noah's argument is that Hamas does not stand alone. They have a big brother in the north (Hizbullah) and they have a really big brother in Iran (also Hizbullah). The Lebanese branch has the power to overwhelm Israeli missile defenses. It seems, if the missile from Dimona is an example, that Israel would also face attacks from Yemen. But Iran is holding back because they are waiting for the power to erase Israel. They are waiting for nukes. In a multi-front war between Iran (from Syria), Lebanon, Gaza and Yemen, Israel is no longer overwhelmingly powerful. It's survival is very much in doubt. Because Hamas decided to attack, Israel has the chance to remove one of those fronts now. I think that's why they are taking it.

And that comes back to the crux of the issue. Over 40% of Israel's population comes from Muslim governed countries. Those countries lost 99% of their Jewish population between 1948 and now. This was ethnic cleansing on a grand and incredibly effective scale. My sister-in-law's family is from Afghanistan and Egypt, my nephew just married a girl from Yemen, my ex-brother-in-law was from Iran, my street corona prayer group has people from Iraq and Morocco. All their former communities have been completely erased. Continental Europe, by contrast, removed only 80% of their Jews from before the Holocaust until today (and that was with the Holocaust).

The *reason* Israel has the military power it has is because it is the stated goal of Hamas, Iran and others to finish the job. They want to kill or expel all Jews from Israel. Quite simply, we're done running. I'm a dual citizen, I can run to the US. But the vast majority of Israeli Jews can't. We've run/been forced home and we've developed the ability to fight back and we'll hold our punches but we won't simply let our people get shot at. The time for Jews passively watching as people try to kill them has passed. The Chinese, Americans, Syrians, Turks and others don't do it, so why should we?

The best solution, of course, is to bring the ethnic conflict to a close. This is what I'm hopeful for. In my opinion, the very possibility of this is what sparked this war. Hamas exists to kill Jews and destroy Israel. They can't afford to have peace break out in a region of war.

Noah make fun of Kushner, but the Abraham Accords were the most important thing to happen here in decades. Kushner achieved more than anybody since the age of Sadat. I argue he achieved more. Egyptians hate Israel, but Israel has a warm relationship with the UAE etc...

Alexa Graham 2 years ago Member's comment

Excellent answer. You should pen an open letter to Trevor Noah with your response!

Alexa Graham 2 years ago Member's comment

Trevor Noah has zero understanding of the complexities of the Middle East. Unfortunately, many celebrities know nothing more than what they see that's viral on social media - completely unvetted, and often fake or misattributed news.

For some reason, many celebrities and influencers think their fame actually gives them the right to consider themselves an expert on topics that they have zero expertise or personal knowledge of. Don't look to such people for guidance!

Ayelet Wolf 2 years ago Member's comment

When you say there were anti-Jewish pogroms, and as are a result, there are now Arab pogroms, what are you referring to? I saw pictures of Lod and Haifa in flames, synagogues and Jewish owned stores burned to the ground. I saw pictures and videos of Jews being dragged from their cars and beaten to unconsciousness. I saw only one incident, in Bat Yam, of the same being done to an Arab.

Horrible yes, but one incident vs. hundreds is not the equivalency you imply.

And from what I understand, we don't even know the full details of what happened in Bat Yam - he was ramming cars before he was attacked, and they haven't even confirmed he was an Arab, last I saw.

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

Also a stabbing in Mahane Yehuda, multiple rallies where "death to Arabs" was chanted and Jewish mobs in Tiberias and Haifa. Same amount? Probably not. But still a very troubling fracturing.

Ayelet Wolf 2 years ago Member's comment

Definitely not the same amount. I saw countless synagogues and Jewish stores burned to the ground in Israel. How many mosques or Arab stores were burned? Not a one that I saw. You have to be careful of falling into the trap that this is all a "cycle of violence" where both sides are equally to blame, and equally violent. That's simply not the case.

Brittany Lacey 2 years ago Member's comment

It must be terrible to live through it, but remember that on the world stage we see some stores in Israel being burned and whole apartment blocks in Gaza being blown apart. You may not equate the two, but to say no mosques or stores were damaged misses the larger point.

Ayelet Wolf 2 years ago Member's comment

Israel does not bomb mosques. Even when they know they are used to store weapons. Also, Israeli doesn't carpet bomb blocks of apartments. They use precision guided missiles to hit precise military targets. Hamas purposely embeds these military targets among civilians so create collateral damage which unfortunately is unavoidable.

At the end of the day, Israel only targets the military, Hamas only targets civilians. That's why the world classifies them as a terrorist organization.

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

I didn't say that. i certainly didn't say that about Gaza. I did say that a massive fissure is happening (that hasn't happened in previous wars) and there is certainly a fissure happening on both sides. My point wasn't to apportion blame - even to both sides. It was point out that this split is happening. I've seen it in conversations with Jews, I've seen it on the streets on both sides (yes, more on the Arab side). My real concern is about unwinding it.

Texan Hunter 2 years ago Member's comment

Hamas is a terrorist organization sworn to the destruction of Israel. They aren't interested in peace. Israelis will never find the solitude they seek unless they get the backbone to march into Gaza and wiped those terrorists out.

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

All my consolation had nothing to do with Hamas. As I put it in a post elsewhere: 99% of Jews were ethnically cleansed from countries governed by Muslims. Hamas wants to do the same in Israel.

Hamas is *not* all Arabs or Muslims. The Abraham Accords and even Ra'am showed that a more practical and ultimately positive reality can emerge. And it was deeply, deeply, threatening.

Joseph Cox 2 years ago Contributor's comment

FYI, "the City on the Heights" (the book I quoted from) can be found at www.josephcox.com