Large Cap Report
The highest scoring names in large cap from 1 year ago (1/8/2013) returned 909 bps more than the S&P 500. The best performers have been YHOO up 104%, CREE up 99%, BSX up 95%, GILD up 92%, ITT up 79%, and TMO up 69%.
- The top large cap sector is industrial goods
- The best large cap industry is lodging.
The average score across large cap is 67.27 this week, below the four week moving average score of 69.99. The average large cap is trading 5.58% above its 200 dma, has 4.18 days to cover short and is expected to post EPS growth of 12.7% next year.
Industrials, healthcare, and services score above average. Financials score in line. Consumer goods, technology, basics, and utilities score below average.
LG CAP | 1/7/2014 | 4 Week MA | |||
Company Name | Symbol | Sector | Industry | SCORE | SCORE |
BEST | |||||
Autozone | AZO | SERVICES | AUTO PARTS STORES | 110 | 110 |
J P Morgan | JPM | FINANCIALS | MONEY CENTER BANKS | 110 | 105 |
Microchip Tech | MCHP | TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED | 110 | 102.5 |
Allergan | AGN | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 105 | 100 |
Ameriprise Finl Inc | AMP | FINANCIALS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | 105 | 107.5 |
Boeing | BA | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 105 | 102.5 |
Celgene | CELG | HEALTHCARE | BIOTECHNOLOGY | 105 | 103.75 |
Walt Disney Company | DIS | SERVICES | ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED | 105 | 107.5 |
Corning | GLW | TECHNOLOGY | COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT | 105 | 103.75 |
Mead Johnson Nutrition | MJN | CONSUMER GOODS | PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS | 105 | 98.75 |
Mylan Labs | MYL | HEALTHCARE | DRUGS-GENERIC | 105 | 103.75 |
Sigma Aldrich | SIAL | HEALTHCARE | SPECIALTY CHEMICALS | 105 | 108.75 |
Amphenol Corp | APH | TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED ELECTRONICS | 100 | 102.5 |
Activision Blizzard In | ATVI | TECHNOLOGY | MULTIMEDIA & GRAPHICS SOFTWARE | 100 | 87.5 |
Becton Dickinson | BDX | HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES | 100 | 96.25 |
CSX Corp | CSX | SERVICES | RAILROADS | 100 | 102.5 |
Hyatt Hotels | H | SERVICES | LODGING | 100 | 98.75 |
I T T Corp | ITT | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 100 | 100 |
Michael Kors | KORS | SERVICES | APPAREL STORES | 100 | 91.25 |
Monsanto Co | MON | BASIC MATERIALS | AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS | 100 | 98.75 |
NVIDIA Corp. | NVDA | TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED | 100 | 86.25 |
Owens Illinois | OI | CONSUMER GOODS | PACKAGING & CONTAINERS | 100 | 103.75 |
Perrigo | PRGO | HEALTHCARE | DRUG RELATED PRODUCTS | 100 | 93.75 |
St. Jude | STJ | HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT | 100 | 93.75 |
Adolph Coors Co | TAP | CONSUMER GOODS | BEVERAGES | 100 | 102.5 |
Thermo Electron Corp. | TMO | CONGLOMERATES | CONGLOMERATES | 100 | 95 |
Visa Inc. | V | SERVICES | BUSINESS SERVICES | 100 | 96.25 |
Apple Computer | AAPL | TECHNOLOGY | PERSONAL COMPUTERS | 95 | 96.25 |
Aon Corp | AON | FINANCIALS | INSURANCE BROKERS | 95 | 97.5 |
C.R. Bard Inc. | BCR | HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES | 95 | 92.5 |
Franklin Resources | BEN | FINANCIALS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | 95 | 93.75 |
C F Industries Hldngs | CF | BASIC MATERIALS | AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS | 95 | 97.5 |
Dollar General | DG | SERVICES | DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES | 95 | 96.25 |
Dish Network Corp. | DISH | CONSUMER GOODS | ELECTRONIC EQUIPMENT | 95 | 90 |
Express Scripts | ESRX | SERVICES | MANAGEMENT SERVICES | 95 | 91.25 |
Fluor Corp | FLR | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | HEAVY CONSTRUCTION | 95 | 93.75 |
The Goldmans Sachs Group | GS | FINANCIALS | INVESTMENT BROKERAGE | 95 | 90 |
Jacobs Engineering | JEC | SERVICES | TECHNICAL SERVICES | 95 | 75 |
Lear Corp | LEA | CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO PARTS | 95 | 93.75 |
Lincoln Nat'l | LNC | FINANCIALS | LIFE INSURANCE | 95 | 96.25 |
Lorillard Inc | LO | CONSUMER GOODS | CIGARETTES | 95 | 97.5 |
Moody's Corp | MCO | FINANCIALS | CREDIT SERVICES | 95 | 98.75 |
Northrup Grumman | NOC | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 95 | 93.75 |
Nucor Corp | NUE | BASIC MATERIALS | STEEL & IRON | 95 | 97.5 |
Newell Rubbermaid | NWL | CONSUMER GOODS | HOUSEWARES & ACCESSORIES | 95 | 98.75 |
T. Rowe Price Group | TROW | FINANCIALS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | 95 | 92.5 |
Valero Energy Corp | VLO | BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING | 95 | 91.25 |
Warner Chilcott Limite | WCRX | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 95 | 91.25 |
Weyerhaeuser Co. | WY | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | LUMBER, WOOD PRODUCTION | 95 | 98.75 |
U.S. Steel | X | INDUSTRIAL GOODS | METAL FABRICATION | 95 | 95 |
Yum! Brands | YUM | SERVICES | RESTAURANTS | 95 | 75 |
Zimmer Holdings | ZMH | HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT | 95 | 88.75 |
WORST | |||||
China Mobile (Hong Kong) Ltd | CHL | TECHNOLOGY | WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS | 15 | 27.5 |
Ameren Corp | AEE | UTILITIES | DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES | 25 | 35 |
Anglogold | AU | BASIC MATERIALS | GOLD | 25 | 27.5 |
Crown Castle Int'l | CCI | TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES | 25 | 35 |
Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais | CIG | UTILITIES | FOREIGN UTILITIES | 25 | 31.25 |
Quest Diagnostic | DGX | HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL LABORATORIES AND RESEARCH | 25 | 33.75 |
Glaxosmithkline | GSK | HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 25 | 30 |
HDFC Bank Ltd | HDB | FINANCIALS | FOREIGN REGIONAL BANKS | 25 | 28.75 |
Icici Bank | IBN | FINANCIALS | FOREIGN MONEY CENTER BANKS | 25 | 52.5 |
Magna Int'l Inc. | MGA | CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO PARTS | 25 | 35 |
Nissan Motors | NSANY | CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR | 25 | 28.75 |
Commentary:
Lodging (H, MAR, HOT) is the best scoring large cap industry. Boeing's order over the weekend adds additional conviction to aerospace/defense (BA, NOC, RTN, LMT, HON). Defense companies benefit from non-sequestration budget resolution and overseas sales. Flu season is ramping up -- bullish for drug stores (CVS, WAG), which offer robust seasonality through winter. Watch margin in 2014 as a re-acceleration of the patent cliff provides pharmacies with generic margin upside. Europe's nascent recovery offers un-modeled upside for industrials, including diversified machinery (ITT, FLS, IR) -- position accordingly.
The only industry scoring above average in basics is ag chemicals (MON, CF, DD). Farmers were able to carry forward prior drought year fertilizer applications last year, however will return to the market this season. In consumer, buy major food (MDLZ, ADM), textiles (VFC, NKE) and cigarettes (LO). Cotton prices provide margin support for textiles plays while solid retail apparel sales provide inventory turn. Asset managers (AMP, TROW, BEN), credit services (MCO, DFS, AXP), and life insurers (LNC, PRU, MFC) score best in financials. Look for easing credit standards to support growth for credit card issuers in 2014. Buy medical appliances (STJ, ZMH, MDT), medical instruments (BDX, BCR), and biotechnology (CELG, BIIB, GILD) in healthcare. Post-reform enrollment and job growth offers demand upside. In biotech, watch for label expansion opportunities and margin expansion tied to orphan drug approvals. Every industrial goods basket is above average focus on aerospace/defense and diversified machinery. Lodging is best in services. Business travel supports room rates. New capacity leveraged against rising revPAR will drive profit growth this year. Drug stores and railroads (CSX, NSC, UNP) also score highly. Look for rails to leverage improving grain and coal volume for railcar pricing. In technology, concentrate on business software (DOX, CTSH), communication equipment (GLW, DTV, QCOM), and technical & system software (INFY).
LG CAP INDUSTRY SCORE BY SECTOR | 1/7/2014 | |
Sector | Industry | SCORE |
BASIC MATERIALS | AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS | 79.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 66.67 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION | 66.43 |
BASIC MATERIALS | MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS | 66.25 |
BASIC MATERIALS | INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS | 64.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING | 62.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | STEEL & IRON | 61.67 |
BASIC MATERIALS | INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS | 61.47 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS PIPELINES | 60.00 |
BASIC MATERIALS | OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES | 58.13 |
BASIC MATERIALS | GOLD | 33.57 |
CONSUMER GOODS | FOOD - MAJOR DIVERSIFIED | 82.50 |
CONSUMER GOODS | TEXTILES | 71.25 |
CONSUMER GOODS | CIGARETTES | 70.00 |
CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO PARTS | 66.67 |
CONSUMER GOODS | PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS | 63.57 |
CONSUMER GOODS | BEVERAGES | 62.14 |
CONSUMER GOODS | PERSONAL PRODUCTS | 61.00 |
CONSUMER GOODS | AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR | 50.00 |
FINANCIALS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | 87.50 |
FINANCIALS | CREDIT SERVICES | 81.00 |
FINANCIALS | LIFE INSURANCE | 77.50 |
FINANCIALS | MONEY CENTER BANKS | 76.67 |
FINANCIALS | INVESTMENT BROKERAGE | 70.00 |
FINANCIALS | REGIONAL BANKS | 68.33 |
FINANCIALS | INSURANCE BROKERS | 65.00 |
FINANCIALS | SAVINGS & LOANS | 63.33 |
FINANCIALS | REITS | 61.15 |
FINANCIALS | PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE | 59.55 |
FINANCIALS | FOREIGN MONEY CENTER BANKS | 50.00 |
HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT | 82.14 |
HEALTHCARE | MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES | 81.00 |
HEALTHCARE | BIOTECHNOLOGY | 79.00 |
HEALTHCARE | HEALTH CARE PLANS | 67.00 |
HEALTHCARE | DRUG MANUFACTURERS | 64.33 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | AEROSPACE/DEFENSE PRODUCTS & SERVICES | 92.86 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY | 83.33 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS | 83.33 |
INDUSTRIAL GOODS | FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY | 72.50 |
SERVICES | LODGING | 93.33 |
SERVICES | DRUG STORES | 87.50 |
SERVICES | RAILROADS | 82.50 |
SERVICES | BUSINESS SERVICES | 79.17 |
SERVICES | DRUGS WHOLESALE | 78.33 |
SERVICES | RESORTS AND CASINOS | 76.67 |
SERVICES | CATV SYSTEMS | 74.38 |
SERVICES | DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES | 73.75 |
SERVICES | RESTAURANTS | 73.75 |
SERVICES | ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED | 71.25 |
SERVICES | DEPARTMENT STORES | 68.00 |
SERVICES | APPAREL STORES | 65.83 |
SERVICES | AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES | 58.75 |
SERVICES | GROCERY STORES | 58.33 |
TECHNOLOGY | BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES | 79.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT | 78.57 |
TECHNOLOGY | TECHINICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE | 75.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED | 73.33 |
TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER | 72.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS | 68.33 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR- INTEGRATED CIRCUITS | 66.67 |
TECHNOLOGY | DATA STORAGE DEVICES | 66.25 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE | 65.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | APPLICATION SOFTWARE | 63.75 |
TECHNOLOGY | INTERNET SOFTWARE & SERVICES | 61.67 |
TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED COMPUTER SYSTEMS | 60.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES | 55.00 |
TECHNOLOGY | SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS | 53.33 |
TECHNOLOGY | TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC | 52.50 |
TECHNOLOGY | WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS | 50.00 |
UTILITIES | ELECTRIC UTILITIES | 52.14 |
UTILITIES | DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES | 45.00 |
UTILITIES | FOREIGN UTILITIES | 31.67 |
None.