Large Cap Report


The highest scoring names in large cap from 1 year ago (1/8/2013) returned 909 bps more than the S&P 500.  The best performers have been YHOO up 104%, CREE up 99%, BSX up 95%, GILD up 92%, ITT up 79%, and TMO up 69%.


 


 

  • The top large cap sector is industrial goods
  • The best large cap industry is lodging.

The average score across large cap is 67.27 this week, below the four week moving average score of 69.99.  The average large cap is trading 5.58% above its 200 dma, has 4.18 days to cover short and is expected to post EPS growth of 12.7% next year.

Industrials, healthcare, and services score above average.  Financials score in line.  Consumer goods, technology, basics, and utilities score below average.
 



 

 

LG CAP       1/7/2014 4 Week MA
Company Name Symbol Sector Industry SCORE SCORE
BEST          
Autozone AZO SERVICES AUTO PARTS STORES 110 110
J P Morgan JPM FINANCIALS MONEY CENTER BANKS 110 105
Microchip Tech MCHP TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED 110 102.5
Allergan AGN HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 105 100
Ameriprise Finl Inc AMP FINANCIALS ASSET MANAGEMENT 105 107.5
Boeing BA INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 105 102.5
Celgene CELG HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 105 103.75
Walt Disney Company DIS SERVICES ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED 105 107.5
Corning GLW TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT 105 103.75
Mead Johnson Nutrition MJN CONSUMER GOODS PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS 105 98.75
Mylan Labs MYL HEALTHCARE DRUGS-GENERIC 105 103.75
Sigma Aldrich SIAL HEALTHCARE SPECIALTY CHEMICALS 105 108.75
Amphenol Corp APH TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED ELECTRONICS 100 102.5
Activision Blizzard In ATVI TECHNOLOGY MULTIMEDIA & GRAPHICS SOFTWARE 100 87.5
Becton Dickinson BDX HEALTHCARE MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES 100 96.25
CSX Corp CSX SERVICES RAILROADS 100 102.5
Hyatt Hotels H SERVICES LODGING 100 98.75
I T T Corp ITT INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 100 100
Michael Kors KORS SERVICES APPAREL STORES 100 91.25
Monsanto Co MON BASIC MATERIALS AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS 100 98.75
NVIDIA Corp. NVDA TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED 100 86.25
Owens Illinois OI CONSUMER GOODS PACKAGING & CONTAINERS 100 103.75
Perrigo PRGO HEALTHCARE DRUG RELATED PRODUCTS 100 93.75
St. Jude STJ HEALTHCARE MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT 100 93.75
Adolph Coors Co TAP CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 100 102.5
Thermo Electron Corp. TMO CONGLOMERATES CONGLOMERATES 100 95
Visa Inc. V SERVICES BUSINESS SERVICES 100 96.25
Apple Computer AAPL TECHNOLOGY PERSONAL COMPUTERS 95 96.25
Aon Corp AON FINANCIALS INSURANCE BROKERS 95 97.5
C.R. Bard Inc. BCR HEALTHCARE MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES 95 92.5
Franklin Resources BEN FINANCIALS ASSET MANAGEMENT 95 93.75
C F Industries Hldngs CF BASIC MATERIALS AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS 95 97.5
Dollar General DG SERVICES DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES 95 96.25
Dish Network Corp. DISH CONSUMER GOODS ELECTRONIC EQUIPMENT 95 90
Express Scripts ESRX SERVICES MANAGEMENT SERVICES 95 91.25
Fluor Corp FLR INDUSTRIAL GOODS HEAVY CONSTRUCTION 95 93.75
The Goldmans Sachs Group GS FINANCIALS INVESTMENT BROKERAGE 95 90
Jacobs Engineering JEC SERVICES TECHNICAL SERVICES 95 75
Lear Corp LEA CONSUMER GOODS AUTO PARTS 95 93.75
Lincoln Nat'l LNC FINANCIALS LIFE INSURANCE 95 96.25
Lorillard Inc LO CONSUMER GOODS CIGARETTES 95 97.5
Moody's Corp MCO FINANCIALS CREDIT SERVICES 95 98.75
Northrup Grumman NOC INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 95 93.75
Nucor Corp NUE BASIC MATERIALS STEEL & IRON 95 97.5
Newell Rubbermaid NWL CONSUMER GOODS HOUSEWARES & ACCESSORIES 95 98.75
T. Rowe Price Group TROW FINANCIALS ASSET MANAGEMENT 95 92.5
Valero Energy Corp VLO BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING 95 91.25
Warner Chilcott Limite WCRX HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 95 91.25
Weyerhaeuser Co. WY INDUSTRIAL GOODS LUMBER, WOOD PRODUCTION 95 98.75
U.S. Steel X INDUSTRIAL GOODS METAL FABRICATION 95 95
Yum! Brands YUM SERVICES RESTAURANTS 95 75
Zimmer Holdings ZMH HEALTHCARE MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT 95 88.75
           
WORST          
China Mobile (Hong Kong) Ltd CHL TECHNOLOGY WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS 15 27.5
Ameren Corp AEE UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 25 35
Anglogold AU BASIC MATERIALS GOLD 25 27.5
Crown Castle Int'l CCI TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES 25 35
Companhia Energetica de Minas Gerais CIG UTILITIES FOREIGN UTILITIES 25 31.25
Quest Diagnostic DGX HEALTHCARE MEDICAL LABORATORIES AND RESEARCH 25 33.75
Glaxosmithkline GSK HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 25 30
HDFC Bank Ltd HDB FINANCIALS FOREIGN REGIONAL BANKS 25 28.75
Icici Bank IBN FINANCIALS FOREIGN MONEY CENTER BANKS 25 52.5
Magna Int'l Inc. MGA CONSUMER GOODS AUTO PARTS 25 35
Nissan Motors NSANY CONSUMER GOODS AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR 25 28.75

 

 

 


 

Commentary:
 

 



 

 

Lodging (H, MAR, HOT) is the best scoring large cap industry.  Boeing's order over the weekend adds additional conviction to aerospace/defense (BA, NOC, RTN, LMT, HON).  Defense companies benefit from non-sequestration budget resolution and overseas sales.  Flu season is ramping up -- bullish for drug stores (CVS, WAG), which offer robust seasonality through winter.  Watch margin in 2014 as a re-acceleration of the patent cliff provides pharmacies with generic margin upside.  Europe's nascent recovery offers un-modeled upside for industrials, including diversified machinery (ITT, FLS, IR) -- position accordingly.

 



 

 

The only industry scoring above average in basics is ag chemicals (MON, CF, DD).   Farmers were able to carry forward prior drought year fertilizer applications last year, however will return to the market this season.  In consumer, buy major food (MDLZ, ADM), textiles (VFC, NKE) and cigarettes (LO).  Cotton prices provide margin support for textiles plays while solid retail apparel sales provide inventory turn.   Asset managers (AMP, TROW, BEN), credit services (MCO, DFS, AXP), and life insurers (LNC, PRU, MFC) score best in financials.  Look for easing credit standards to support growth for credit card issuers in 2014.  Buy medical appliances (STJ, ZMH, MDT), medical instruments (BDX, BCR), and biotechnology (CELG, BIIB, GILD) in healthcare.  Post-reform enrollment and job growth offers demand upside.  In biotech, watch for label expansion opportunities and margin expansion tied to orphan drug approvals.  Every industrial goods basket is above average focus on aerospace/defense and diversified machinery.  Lodging is best in services.  Business travel supports room rates.  New capacity leveraged against rising revPAR will drive profit growth this year.  Drug stores and railroads (CSX, NSC, UNP) also score highly.  Look for rails to leverage improving grain and coal volume for railcar pricing.  In technology, concentrate on business software (DOX, CTSH), communication equipment (GLW, DTV, QCOM), and technical & system software (INFY).

 

 

LG CAP INDUSTRY SCORE BY SECTOR   1/7/2014
Sector Industry SCORE
     
BASIC MATERIALS AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS 79.00
BASIC MATERIALS CHEMICALS- MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 66.67
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS DRILLING & EXPLORATION 66.43
BASIC MATERIALS MAJOR INTEGRATED OIL AND GAS 66.25
BASIC MATERIALS INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINERALS 64.00
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS REFINING & MARKETING 62.00
BASIC MATERIALS STEEL & IRON 61.67
BASIC MATERIALS INDEPENDENT OIL & GAS 61.47
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS PIPELINES 60.00
BASIC MATERIALS OIL & GAS EQUIPMENT & SERVICES 58.13
BASIC MATERIALS GOLD 33.57
CONSUMER GOODS FOOD - MAJOR DIVERSIFIED 82.50
CONSUMER GOODS TEXTILES 71.25
CONSUMER GOODS CIGARETTES 70.00
CONSUMER GOODS AUTO PARTS 66.67
CONSUMER GOODS PROCESSED & PACKAGED GOODS 63.57
CONSUMER GOODS BEVERAGES 62.14
CONSUMER GOODS PERSONAL PRODUCTS 61.00
CONSUMER GOODS AUTO MANUFACTURERS- MAJOR 50.00
FINANCIALS ASSET MANAGEMENT 87.50
FINANCIALS CREDIT SERVICES 81.00
FINANCIALS LIFE INSURANCE 77.50
FINANCIALS MONEY CENTER BANKS 76.67
FINANCIALS INVESTMENT BROKERAGE 70.00
FINANCIALS REGIONAL BANKS 68.33
FINANCIALS INSURANCE BROKERS 65.00
FINANCIALS SAVINGS & LOANS 63.33
FINANCIALS REITS 61.15
FINANCIALS PROPERTY & CASUALITY INSURANCE 59.55
FINANCIALS FOREIGN MONEY CENTER BANKS 50.00
HEALTHCARE MEDICAL APPLIANCES & EQUIPMENT 82.14
HEALTHCARE MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & SUPPLIES 81.00
HEALTHCARE BIOTECHNOLOGY 79.00
HEALTHCARE HEALTH CARE PLANS 67.00
HEALTHCARE DRUG MANUFACTURERS 64.33
INDUSTRIAL GOODS AEROSPACE/DEFENSE  PRODUCTS & SERVICES 92.86
INDUSTRIAL GOODS DIVERSIFIED MACHINERY 83.33
INDUSTRIAL GOODS INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT & COMPONENTS 83.33
INDUSTRIAL GOODS FARM & CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY 72.50
SERVICES LODGING 93.33
SERVICES DRUG STORES 87.50
SERVICES RAILROADS 82.50
SERVICES BUSINESS SERVICES 79.17
SERVICES DRUGS WHOLESALE 78.33
SERVICES RESORTS AND CASINOS 76.67
SERVICES CATV SYSTEMS 74.38
SERVICES DISCOUNT, VARIETY STORES 73.75
SERVICES RESTAURANTS 73.75
SERVICES ENTERTAINMENT- DIVERSIFIED 71.25
SERVICES DEPARTMENT STORES 68.00
SERVICES APPAREL STORES 65.83
SERVICES AIR DELIVERY & FREIGHT SERVICES 58.75
SERVICES GROCERY STORES 58.33
TECHNOLOGY BUSINESS SOFTWARE & SERVICES 79.00
TECHNOLOGY COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT 78.57
TECHNOLOGY TECHINICAL & SYSTEM SOFTWARE 75.00
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR-SPECIALIZED 73.33
TECHNOLOGY INTERNET INFORMATION PROVIDER 72.00
TECHNOLOGY SCIENTIFIC & TECHNICAL INSTRUMENTS 68.33
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR- INTEGRATED CIRCUITS 66.67
TECHNOLOGY DATA STORAGE DEVICES 66.25
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR- BROAD LINE 65.00
TECHNOLOGY APPLICATION SOFTWARE 63.75
TECHNOLOGY INTERNET SOFTWARE & SERVICES 61.67
TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED COMPUTER SYSTEMS 60.00
TECHNOLOGY DIVERSIFIED COMMUNICATION SERVICES 55.00
TECHNOLOGY SEMICONDUCTOR EQUIPMENT & MATERIALS 53.33
TECHNOLOGY TELECOM SERVICES - DOMESTIC 52.50
TECHNOLOGY WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS 50.00
UTILITIES ELECTRIC UTILITIES 52.14
UTILITIES DIVERSIFIED UTILITIES 45.00
UTILITIES FOREIGN UTILITIES 31.67

 

 

None.

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