Global Coronavirus Cases Jump 50% Overnight, 5 Now In US

By Mike Shedlock of MishTalk
Sunday, January 26, 2020 6:05 PM EDT

There are now over 2,000 confirmed cases with 5 in the US. This is a lowball estimate, perhaps by a factor of 10.

50% Jump in Cases Overnight

Another 1,000 Confirmed Cases

Wuhan mayor expects another roughly 1,000 confirmed coronavirus infection cases; Hong Kong to deny entry to people who have visited Hubei during the past two weeks

There are now over 2,000 confirmed cases according to Bloomberg's Mapping the Coronavirus Outbreak Across the World.

Coronavirus Global Map

The New York Times has a Coronavirus Map
 

Coronavirus US map

Johns Hopkins Civil Engineering Professor Lauren Gardner built a Coronavirus Website.

It “displays up-to-the-minute statistics from various sources: the World Health Organization (WHO), the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China (NHC), and two other sites,” the press release states.

The site also contains maps although my clip just shows counts.

There are 56 locations outside of China as shown by the interactive map.

China Urges Calm Over Virus During ‘Critical Period’

The Wall Street Journal reports China Urges Calm Over Virus During ‘Critical Period’

Zhou Xianwang, the mayor of Wuhan, the epicenter of the outbreak, said at a press briefing late Sunday that he expects that experts will confirm another roughly 1,000 of the suspected infection cases under monitoring. The vast majority of the confirmed cases in mainland China so far are in and around Wuhan. Mr. Zhou said more than five million people have left Wuhan, leaving about nine million. Many residents hail from around the region and normally leave town for Lunar New Year, and it isn’t known how many specifically fled because of the virus.

5 Million Potentially Infected Fled Wuhan

Let that stat sink in along with the fact that the incubation period is up to two weeks and mutations could be higher.

The virus has now spread to more than a dozen countries.

Wear Masks, If You Can Get Them

"In the southern provinces of Jiangxi and Guangdong, authorities have required everyone to wear face masks in public."

They are now sold out or mostly sold out in the US. After reading Chris Martenson's post, I had trouble finding them, nearly every place was sold out. I managed to get 14.

Disease Can Spread Before Symptoms Show

China Traffic

Nasty Traits Not Typically Seen Together

More Than a Bit Too Late

Final Poll Tally

China Bans Wildlife Trade

Agree with Dr. Dena on this one.

Official Death Counts

Underreporting is rampant.

Update From CDC

The Center for Disease Control provides this latest nearly useless update on the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV)

Chinese health officials have reported more than a thousand infections with 2019-nCoV in China, including outside of Hubei Province. Infections with 2019-nCoV also are being reported in a growing number of international locations, including the United States, where 5 cases in travelers from Wuhan have been confirmed in four states (AZ, CA, IL, WA) as of January 26, 2020.

The available sequence information does not provide any information about severity of associated illness or transmissibility of the virus. ... At this time, it’s unclear how easily or sustainably this virus is spreading between people. ... The complete clinical picture with regard to 2019-nCoV is still not fully clear. Reported illnesses have ranged from infected people with little to no symptoms to people being severely ill and dying.

While CDC considers this is a very serious public health threat, based on current information, the immediate health risk from 2019-nCoV to the general American public is considered low at this time. Nevertheless, CDC is taking proactive preparedness precautions.

Proactive Precautions Listed by CDC

 

  1. CDC is closely monitoring this situation and is working with WHO. [Mish Comment: proactive?]
  2. CDC established a 2019-nCoV Incident Management Structure on January 7, 2020. On January 21, 2020, CDC activated its Emergency Response System to better provide ongoing support to the 2019-nCoV response. [Mish Comment: Way behind the curve]
  3. On January 23, 2020, CDC again raised its travel alert for the coronavirus outbreak. The travel notice for Wuhan City was raised from Level 2: Practice Enhanced Precautions to Level 3: Avoid Nonessential Travel. CDC also issued a Level 1: Practice Usual Precautions for the rest of China. [Mish Comment: "Usual Precautions?" This Late?]
  4. CDC also is conducting entry screening of passengers on direct and connecting flights from Wuhan, China to five major airports: Atlanta (ATL), Chicago (ORD), Los Angeles, (LAX) New York city (JFK), and San Francisco (SFO). [Mish Comment: Almost totally useless given incubation period.]
  5. CDC issued an updated interim Health Alert Notice (HAN) Advisory to inform state and local health departments and health care providers about this outbreak on January 17, 2020. [Mish Comment: It took the CDC over a month to inform state and local officials that something was going on.]
  6. CDC teams have been deployed to support the ongoing investigation in Washington and Illinois to support the ongoing investigations of the two cases in the United States. [Mish comment: Excuse me for pointing out that the same day the CD released these statements, there were 5 known US cases and 60 suspect cases.]
  7. CDC has developed a real time Reverse Transcription-Polymerase Chain Reaction (rRT-PCR) test that can diagnose 2019-nCoV in respiratory and serum samples from clinical specimens. On January 24, 2020, CDC publicly posted the assay protocol for this test. Currently, testing for this virus must take place at CDC, but in the coming days and weeks, CDC will share these tests with domestic and international partners through the agency’s International Reagent Resource. [Mish Comment: OK we have a protocol, but testing must be done by the CDC.]
  8. CDC uploaded the entire genome of the virus from the first reported case in the United States to GenBank. [Mish Comment: Is it just the US cases that merit monitoring?]
  9. CDC also is growing the virus in cell culture, which is necessary for further studies, including for additional genetic characterization. [Mish Comment: This makes sense but is it proactive?]

Proactive

https://s3-us-west-2.amazonaws.com/maven-user-photos/mishtalk/economics/zmfATcSa4EegwR7v_znq6Q/I-prfg6-Y0u9i3B6yZEXIw

The CDC is clearly way behind the curve. Its measures are not remotely proactive.

The CDC does not inspire confidence.

If you want better reporting and better tips I suggest following Chris Martenson who just reported Coronavirus Pandemic Event Now A Serious Risk and Dr. Dena Grayson on Twitter.

Also, do yourself a favor and watch Chris Martenson's Must See Video on the Coronavirus.

Disclaimer: The content on Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis site is provided as general information only and should not be taken as investment advice. All site content, including ...

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Alexa Graham • 4 years ago • Member's comment

Scary stuff but hopefully overblown.

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Barry Hochhauser • 4 years ago • Member's comment

Yes, and I have a flight soon! Not to Asia at least but who knows where the other travelers will have recently been. For the first time in my life I was thinking of buying one of those silly, paranoid looking surgical masks, but I actually read on CNN that, outside of a hospital setting, the masks offer no benefit. So I'm a bit surprised the author would recommend that.

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