Inside Day Losses

The December rally, which was looking vulnerable as of Monday, managed to resume its trend before giving back some of those gains today. I'm still looking for a larger move back to retest breakout support, which may start today, but today's selling volume was well below recent buying - so the percentage loss looked worse than it actually was.

The Nasdaq loss did little damage to the technicals and relative performance continues to surge. The 20-day MA is crossing above the 200-day MA, so the 20-day MA is likely to be the first area of potential support to be tested should the current selling continues. 


The S&P also enjoys a net bullish technical picture, although strength is not as robust as for the Nasdaq. More importantly, relative performance (vs the Russell 2000) has been particularly weak - although it has improved over February. 

The Russell 2000 is underperforming against the Nasdaq but is still edging it over the S&P. Other technicals are net bullish and the current pullback has the look of a 'bull flag'. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average had been the high flyer, but the breakout as happened in other indices has yet to occur. If you were a trader looking for a breakout opportunity, this is the index to buy. I would be looking for a breakout here soon. 

For the remainder of the week, I would be okay with further (low volume) losses, but I don't want to see a significant undercut of breakout support for any of the aforementioned indices. It may prove to be 20-day MAs that play a key role in marking an end to any extended decline that emerges from here. 


More By This Author:

Tentative Steps Lower For Markets
The Market Surge Continues
S&P Breakout Joins Nasdaq And Russell 2000

Disclaimer: Investors should not act on any information in this article without obtaining specific advice from their financial advisors and should not rely on information herein as the primary ...

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