E US Government Escalates Trade Hostility

Pelosi and the Democrats must understand that China is for free trade and for capitalism. While I would not want to live under one party, our two parties are pretty bad these days as well. An oligarchy in the USA is not that great. This is not what the Founding Fathers intended. We have free speech, but we had Diane Feinstein saying a few years back that free speech was a privilege, not a right. While I believe she has backed off since then, it was the oligarchy speaking. 

The US is turning against free trade and capitalism. Our government is interfering right at the time that China is prospering, and was on track to buy more from us voluntarily. But that was before the Trump trade war. The Coronavirus (COVID-19) will allow China some slack, as it may not be able to buy what all that we want to sell. Even big oil has said that we cannot provide the oil that Trump wants China to buy. 

There is no point in acting hostile towards China. Even Israelis have said that China is the future of growth and tech. The danger is that US businesses in China will be boycotted. Is that worth it? These businesses like Apple and Starbucks are trying to sell product to the Chinese, and yet our government is giving those companies grief. 

WTO and Europe

With the US escalating those two fronts, it also seeks to escalate in a third way by refashioning or leaving the World Trade Organization.

These escalations put Germany in a bad place as well. If China or the US were to take a hard line against Germany, that economy would face permanent negative growth. Because of German weakness, Europe is fragile to competing interests. Germany cannot replace exports of roughly 90 billion dollars yearly to China. 

The US could also face weakness through a two pronged tariff war with China and Europe. The Democrats would likely not pursue a tariff war with Europe, instead focusing on China. But they are over in Europe leaning on them to act against their own national interests. Pelosi leaning on Europe is based upon her hard line 2018 statement on China.

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Disclosure: I have no financial interest in any companies or industries mentioned. I am not an investment counselor nor am I an attorney so my views are not to be considered investment ...

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Gary Anderson 3 months ago Author's comment

Update: Trump has just gone on record zaying he opposes his own government's attempt to ban GE engines from China. He has opened a Pandora's box for political gain with a tariff war and now government is running way ahead of him in its hostity toward China!

Don T. Sloan 3 months ago Member's comment

The issue with Huaweii isn't just about patent infringement, it's about national security concerns. That's why it's being handled the way it is.

Rebecca Duncan 3 months ago Member's comment

True, there is a difference between this case and other patent infringement cases. That being said the case against Huaweii is fuzzy at best.

Gary Anderson 3 months ago Author's comment

The US government refuses to show proof of security dangers.

Don T. Sloan 3 months ago Member's comment

Yes, because it is a national security issue. Unless you think America is making up the whole thing. But do you really trust the Chinese government more than the US government?

Gary Anderson 3 months ago Author's comment

In this case, yes. Show proof. Our government has had plenty of time. Read my article on Meng and the rule of law.

Norman Mogil 3 months ago Contributor's comment

Gary, I agree. The issue is that there is no American telecom that is at the forefront of the 5G technology. The US dropped the ball awhile ago and assumed that 5G was a longer way off in the future. Meanwhile, Chinese and European developers marched ahead.( I am biased. I have a Huawai phone and find it better and much cheaper than iPhones. Do I think the Chinese are spying on me??)

Duanne Johnson 3 months ago Member's comment

Yes, they are probably spying on you. But so is Google, Facebook and all the US tech companies.

Gary Anderson 3 months ago Author's comment

Xylinx and VMWare are just two tech companies laying off workers because of the Huaweii ban. That ban is escalating as I point out in the article.

Norman Mogil 3 months ago Contributor's comment

Gary you are correct.Israel's tech sector is deeply involved with China,especially in AI.

As for Flat Broke the US has a long history of not acting in its best intersts. By starting a trade war which the US does not know how to end is a perfect example of not acting and your own best interest.

Flat Broke 3 months ago Member's comment

Obviously that's a matter of opinion. Trump obviously believes the trade war was in the US's best interests, even if you don't.

Gary Anderson 3 months ago Author's comment

You are correct Flat. But Trump also said a trade war with China would be easy to win. He was obviously wrong, and it shows his ignorance about damage tariff wars can inflict.

Texan Hunter 3 months ago Member's comment

How was #Trump wrong about the #tradewar? Our economy is booming while China's is now a mess and half the country is locked down.

Gary Anderson 3 months ago Author's comment

Ask Apple and the other 900 US companies doing business in China. Ask GE about Trump's trade war. We are only booming in the service sector. Biz investment and capacity utilization are cratering.

Derek Snyder 3 months ago Member's comment

I think that has more to do with the coronavirus than the tradewar.

Flat Broke 3 months ago Member's comment

Like any country, America will always do what it believes is in it's best interests. What evidence is there that China was planning to voluntarily purchase more. And what do you mean "even Israel says..." What makes Israel the expert on China?

Gary Anderson 3 months ago Author's comment

Apparently the entire world spans the USA is an expert on China, generally trusting the reliability of the nation in business. Israel is allowing China to operate a port and has found US concerns to be amuzing.

Gary Anderson 3 months ago Author's comment

So, Flat, here is the link. View the chart. China was turning on to American products and tourism to the USA. But then Trump ruined the trust because he is ignorant of China's dismay regarding opening up China by the West. talkmarkets.com/.../tariff-man-trump-fooled-wall-street-from-the-start

Flat Broke 3 months ago Member's comment

Thanks for sharing.

Gary Anderson 3 months ago Author's comment

The Fred chart in a previous article showed an increase in US exports to China until Trump launched his trade war.