Trading Support And Resistance - Sunday, Jan. 24

10 and one 10 us dollar bill

This week we will begin with our monthly and weekly forecasts of the currency pairs worth watching. The first part of our forecast is based upon our research of the past 18 years of Forex prices, which show that the following methodologies have all produced profitable results:

Let us look at the relevant data of currency price changes and interest rates to date, which we compiled using a trade-weighted index of the major global currencies:

Currency Price Changes and Interest Rates

Monthly Forecast January 2021

For the month of January, we forecasted that the EUR/USD currency pair will be likely to rise in value. The performance to date is shown in the table below:

EUR/USD Monthly Forecast January 2021

Weekly Forecast January 24

Last week, we made no weekly forecast, as there were no unusually strong counter-trend price movements in the Forex market over the previous week except the GBP/SEK. We were correct not to forecast that this currency cross would rise over the week although it met our technical requirements for a long trade.

This week, we again make no forecast, as there were no strong counter-trend movements in the Forex market whatsoever.

The Forex market showed a considerably lower level of volatility compared to the previous week, with not one of the important currency pairs and crosses moving by more than 1% in value last week. Volatility is likely to increase over the coming week.

Last week was dominated by relative strength in the New Zealand dollar, and relative weakness in the U.S. dollar.

Previous Monthly Forecasts

You can view the results of our previous monthly forecasts here.

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