Sensex Trades 365 Points Lower; Dow Futures Down By 194 Points

Share markets in India are presently trading on a negative note.

The BSE Sensex is trading down by 365 points, down 0.9%, at 40,320 levels.

Meanwhile, the NSE Nifty is trading down by 104 points.

Adani Ports & SEZ and HDFC Life are among the top gainers today. JSW Steel and Hero MotoCorp are among the top losers today.

The BSE Mid Cap index is trading down by 1%

The BSE Small Cap index is trading down by 0.4%

On the sectoral front, all sectors are trading in red with stocks from the metal sector and energy sector witnessing most of the selling pressure.

US stock futures are trading lower today, indicating a negative opening for Wall Street indices.

Nasdaq Futures are trading down by 56 points (down 0.5%), while Dow Futures are trading down 194 points (down 0.7%).

Gold prices are trading down by 0.4% at Rs 50,630 per 10 grams.

Note that in recent weeks, gold prices have remained in a narrow range, after losing momentum since hitting a record high of Rs 56,200 per 10 grams in August.

Yet, gold prices are up about 30% so far this year in Indian markets. Most of these gains are seen as gold is seen as an inflation hedge amid unprecedented pandemic-driven stimulus across the world.

The rupee is trading at 73.75 against the US$.

Moving on to stock-specific news...

Among the buzzing stocks, today is Nestle India.

The company's net sales rose on the back of improving demand in the first quarter of operations after the government eased lockdown curbs and its factories limped back to normal capacities.

Domestic sales rose 10.2% YoY while its exports rose 9.4% YoY to Rs 1.6 billion. The company also saw an increase of 15% YoY in its operating profit and an expansion of 1.1% in its operating margin.

However, the company saw its profit decline by 1% YoY. This bottom line fell because the profit was boosted in the year-ago quarter after the government cut corporate tax rates.

Nestle India's brands such as Maggi noodles and sauces, Kit Kat, and Nescafe witnessed double-digit growth. The company said that sales through its e-commerce channels almost doubled in the quarter and now contributes to 4% of Nestle India's domestic sales.

Note that the demand for consumer goods makers improved after the nation restarted most activities to boost sentiment. While complete economic recovery is some time away, Nestle India's peers Hindustan Unilever and Britannia Industries also reported an increase in demand.

The company plans to invest Rs 26 billion over the next three to four years to expand its existing manufacturing capacities and start a new factory at Sanand, Gujarat.

The board of directors declared an interim dividend of Rs 135 per share which will be paid on and from 20 November 2020.

At the time of writing, Nestle India's share price was trading up by 2.3% on the BSE.

Moving on to news from the metals and mining sector...

Vedanta Pays US$ 476 Million Dividend Before Potential Downgrade

According to an exchange filing on October 24, Vedanta, the Indian subsidiary of Vedanta Resources Ltd. (VRL), approved a dividend of Rs 9.5 per share amounting to Rs 35 billion (US$ 476 million). The outflow follows US$ 1.2 billion in payouts announced by cash cow unit Hindustan Zinc earlier this week.

The decision comes two weeks after the failure to delist Vedanta which has curtailed the London-based holding company's ability to easily access cash from its units and pare down elevated debt.

Moody's Investors Service put VRL's credit rating under review for a downgrade on October 27, citing an increase in refinancing risk at the holding company level following the collapse of the privatization bid.

VRL, which owns 50% in its Indian unit has around US$ 2.9 billion in debt maturities that are due between April 2020 and March 2022.

While the dividend payments and intercompany loans will be adequate for debt servicing over the next 12 months, the significant reduction in cash at the subsidiaries in this scenario would make subsequent debt maturities more challenging.

The payout will also come as a relief for Vedanta's minority shareholders after the company didn't pass on a previous dividend by Hindustan Zinc to them in May

VRL's dollar bond maturing in 2024 surged 4.2 cents on the dollar, the biggest jump since June, on optimism that the dividend payout will ease concerns regarding repayments of the upcoming debt maturities.

We will keep you updated on all the news from this space. Stay tuned

Speaking of the metal sector, note that metal stocks have rebounded sharply from their March lows, with a revival in both domestic and global demand.

Have a look at the chart below which shows returns of the major sectoral indices since 23 March 2020.

According to Apurva Sheth, Senior Research Analyst at Equitymaster, the secret behind the rally in metals is nothing else but its greed and fear cycle. The greed phase in metal stocks will last until September 2021.

As per Apurva, the sector has a lot more ground to cover up in a short span of time.

How metal stocks perform in the coming months remains to be seen.

Disclosure: Equitymaster Agora Research Private Limited (Research Analyst) bearing Registration No. INH000000537 (hereinafter referred as 'Equitymaster') is an independent equity research ...

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