GBP/USD Resumes Upside Near 1.2800 On Mixed US Data, Fed Rate Cut Expectation

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  • GBP/USD holds positive ground around 1.2790 amid the firmer USD on Thursday. 
  • The ISM said on Wednesday that its US Services PMI rebounded to 53.8% in May from 49.4% in April. 
  • The UK S&P Global Services PMI reached a six-month low of 52.9 from 55.0 in April. 

The GBP/USD pair resumes upside near 1.2790 despite the rebound of US Dollar (USD). Traders started to price in two interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this year as the US economy grew at a slower pace in the first quarter than projected earlier. Later on Thursday, the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims and Balance of Trade will be published. 

In the past few months, Fed officials emphasized the need to hold the rate higher for longer until the central bank gains confidence that inflation is moving toward the Fed’s 2% target. However, the downbeat US May ISM Manufacturing PMI report and weaker Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data have triggered the expectation of easing policy from the Fed in September, which weighs on the Greenback broadly. The markets are now pricing in a nearly 70% chance of a Fed rate cut in September, up from 54.9% at the beginning of the week, according to the CME FedWatch tool. 

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported on Wednesday that the US Services PMI improved to 53.8 in May from 49.4 in April. This figure came in better than the estimation of 50.8.  

On the other hand, the UK services sector reported slower growth in May. The UK S&P Global Services PMI reached a six-month low of 52.9 from 55.0 in April, in line with the expectation. Meanwhile, the Composite PMI dropped to a two-month low of 53.0 in May from a one-year high of 54.1 in April. Amid the absence of the top-tier UK economic data releases, the GBP/USD pair will be influenced by the USD. 


GBP/USD
 

OVERVIEW
Today last price 1.2793
Today Daily Change 0.0022
Today Daily Change % 0.17
Today daily open 1.2771

 

TRENDS
Daily SMA20 1.268
Daily SMA50 1.2592
Daily SMA100 1.2636
Daily SMA200 1.2544

 

LEVELS
Previous Daily High 1.2818
Previous Daily Low 1.2743
Previous Weekly High 1.2801
Previous Weekly Low 1.2681
Previous Monthly High 1.2801
Previous Monthly Low 1.2446
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2772
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2789
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2736
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2702
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2662
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2811
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2852
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2886


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