Emerging Markets: Finally ?!

Key to this? Inflation expectations playing catch up. If the below ratio does not begin to meaningfully tick higher, I maintain a Spring Crash in equities can happen putting December lows at risk for equities. However, if inflation excitement kicks in here, then it only furthers the argument that emerging markets have serious upside potential on reflation bets (and hopefully sustained momentum).

Our ATAC strategies in the near-term have been catching some good momentum as relative strength still looks early in emerging market stocks. Then again, this has happened 591 other times (sarcasm). Keep watching Oil and inflation expectations. I believe the narrative around what happens next will purely center around that and how that macro trend impacts everything else in the world.

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Disclosure: This writing is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell, a solicitation to buy, or a recommendation regarding any securities transaction, or as an offer ...

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