Dax 40 Outlook: USD Weakness, Lower Yields Drive Stocks Higher

By Tammy Da Costa of DailyFX

Monday, October 17, 2022 11:51 AM EDT

Dax, FSTE, and Dow Jones have opened the week higher as a weaker US Dollar (USD) and lower Yields boost demand for risk assets.

With Germany 40 futures heading back towards 12,700, UK 100 is holding above 6,855 while Dow Futures retest 30,000.

Although interest rates and recession fears continue to rise, major stock indices have shrugged off recent losses as investors shift their attention to Q3 earnings.

DAX 40 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

As Dax futures aim for their third consecutive week of gains, both psychological and technical levels continue to provide support and resistance for the European index. With the 12,700-psych level currently in play, the weekly CCI (commodity channel index) has risen back from oversold territory (a possible suggestion that the bears may be running out of steam).

Dax (German 40) Futures Weekly Chart

(Click on image to enlarge)

Chart Description automatically generated

Chart prepared by Tammy Da Costa using TradingView

Meanwhile, on a shorter timeframe, the daily chart below highlights the upcoming zones of confluency that may continue to assist in driving price action for the imminent move.

With the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the 2022 move providing an additional layer of resistance at 12,780, a move higher could see bulls driving prices back towards the August high of 12,847. However, if 12,700 fails to hold, a drop back towards 12,400 and below 12,000 may pave the way for another bearish move.

Dax 40 Futures Daily Chart

(Click on image to enlarge)

Graphical user interface, chart, histogram Description automatically generated