Brexit Trifecta: May Rejects Corbyn's Customs Union Offer, What's Next?

After setting up a committee to study that idea (a delayed trade deal but a guaranteed Brexit), May disavowed it a couple days later.

However, May cannot do that if Tories and DUP remain united. Thus, realistically, a trio of options remain.

Brexit Trifecta

  1. WTO-Brexit March 29
  2. Malthouse Compromise
  3. May's Deal Sooner or Later

EU Will Blink

If push comes to shove, and it will, the EU is highly likely to blink. Under that theory, the EU will offer a backstop time guarantee.

If so, the revised deal will pass.

If the EU holds firm, take your pick from number 1 or number 2 or something in between if not exactly the Malthouse compromise.

May's deal is no better than 50-50.

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