Brexit: EU Can Do It If You Really Want…

We expect an extension to Article 50 to be agreed by the EU, rather than a negotiation failure of historic proportions, such as an “accidental” no-deal Brexit on March 29, given the expressed views of both the UK Parliament and the EU. From there, the way out of the impasse is an amendment, perhaps modest in scope, agreed with the EU which can pass the UK Parliament, which is not exactly new news. We view markets as correctly pricing in a modest discount for sterling and UK equities, which will remain in place until the uncertainty is resolved.

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