Brexit Deal Is Done

In this interview I explain why I believe the Brexit deal is positive.

Brexit, the process of disconnecting the United Kingdom from the European Union, has been launched. The first thing we must be is intellectually honest and recognize that the estimates of an economic debacle post-referendum never happened, but the challenges are relevant.

This deal is as an opportunity to strengthen the ties between the EU and the UK as an area of freedom, flexibility, attractive investment opportunities and global trade.

Trade
Nearly half of UK exports go to the EU, but of the 28 countries, 26 have huge trade surpluses with the United Kingdom. What does that mean? The EU, country by country, exports more to Britain than it imports. That is important, especially with the country that has the largest surplus with the UK, Germany.

The UK has a high deficit in trade in goods, but a huge surplus in services. All this means that the exit from the single market can have an impact, but this deal lifts many uncertainty clouds and improves the outlook for both the UK and EU economies.

Financial sector
With the latest data available, the UK exports 19.4 billion pounds per year in financial services to the EU, a surplus close to 0.9% of GDP. The United Kingdom originates almost 20% of loans for EU infrastructure projects, according to the City report.

The implications of the deal for the Financial Sector are still unclear as the agreement leaves many areas undecided. However, one thing is clear: Fear of a massive exodus of firms or capital flights out of the EU due to Brexit have evaporated.

Regulation

According to Capital Economics and Open Europe, the cost to the UK of the 100 most expensive rules and regulations of the European Union is 33 billion pounds a year. Excessive bureaucracy and high taxes have limited potential growth and investment in Europe, particularly in the past eight years.

The European Union should take the initiative and begin to reduce the bureaucratic web it has built, as this cost will be a problem for many countries.

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