Four Pillars of GDP: Export-driven economy

Singapore’s GDP has been growing at a slow pace of late, 2.4% over the last four quarters. Exports have been the main contributor to GDP growth, but private consumption has created a headwind against overall growth.

Cheap PE, high dividend yield

Singapore remains relatively cheap, considering its price-to-earnings (PE) ratio relative to Asia. Its PE is expected to sit below 15x for the year.

Relatively slow earnings growth explains the cheap valuation, however, with both 2015 and 2016 seeing a full-year reduction.

Singapore has the second-highest dividend yield, at an expected 3.9% for the year, with only Taiwan offering a higher yield.

A. Stotz Four Elements: Singapore’s rank relative to Asia

Overall, Singapore is the least attractive market in Asia, considering all our four elements: Fundamentals, Valuation, Momentum, and Risk.

Fundamentals: Singapore has the second lowest ROE in Asia in the past 12 months.

Valuation: The market’s multiples are low and the dividend yield is high.

Momentum: The country features poor earnings and price momentum.

Risk: The market has a moderate volatility profile.

Massive performance in the Info Tech sector in 3Q17

Top 3 largest sectors: Industrials: 27% of the market; Real Estate: 23%; Financials: 20%.

Best sector & stock: Information Technology: +26.9% & Hi-P International Ltd.: +49.6%.

Worst sector & stock: Health Care: -4.3% & Raffles Medical Group Ltd.: -14.9%.

*CE is consensus estimates