E The Canadian Cannabis Report - Monday, Oct. 19
THE BAD
There were 4 stocks that decreased by more than 10% (but less than 20%) which is my metric for inclusion in this category: APHA -19.2%; TGODF -12.5%; NEPT -10.5% and MEDIF -10.1%. Aphria Inc. appears vulnerable for a correction due to recent disappointing revenue numbers. I intend to do more modeling work on the company based on my preliminary assessment after consulting with my private clients.
THE UGLY
There were 2 stocks that decreased by 20% or more, which is my metric for inclusion in this category: BHHKF - 29.6% and ACB - 20.1%. Benchmark Botanics Inc. is among the lowest capitalization MCCCI stocks, and I believe lives in uncertain times. Aurora Cannabis is 1 of the “Big Four” and the company’s recent price weakness is a growing concern. ACB has a YTD decrease of over 90%, which may accelerate option activity for those traders who use this metric as a guidepost for their strategy going forward.
VALUATION METRIC REVIEW
There was a decrease of 5.7% in the “Big Four” compared to the last blockbuster increase of 24.7%. I would note my view of ACB last week was sustained as discussed earlier in this report.
RECAP
The relative strength index increased by 4.3% compared to last week’s 2020 high increase of 25.3%, which was reported incorrectly in the 10/9 report as 22.8% due to an “operator error” (me). My most pressing concern at present is the growing instability of 2 of the “Big Four” MCCCI companies (ACB and APHA) discussed here, and how they (and their cohorts) trade going forward. As a continued caveat to any “Robinhoodies” reading this report, option trading should be left to the professionals. Let us see how this volatile sector has performed shall we?
Interesting performance of this tightly focused sector. Certainly an education.