Sector ETFs, Stocks Set To Explode After Another Rate Cut
The Federal Reserve slashed interest rates for the second time since the financial crisis by 25 basis points (bps) to 1.75-2% in its policy meeting to sustain a decade-long economic expansion. The central bank gave few hints over the path of future rates.
Though the U.S. economy is growing at a "moderate" rate and the labor market "remains strong," the Fed said that it is cutting rates "in light of the implications of global developments for the economic outlook as well as muted inflation pressures." Further, it pledged to "act as appropriate" to sustain the expansion. Seven of 17 policymakers projected one more quarter-point rate cut in 2019.
In addition to a short-term rate cut, the Fed lowered the interest it pays on excess reserves by 30 bps. The move was aimed at keeping the funds rate within its target range. The interest on excessive reserves historically has acted as a guardrail for the funds rate, which traded 5 bps above the target.
A Boon for Sectors
In a lower-rate environment, high-dividend-yield sectors such as utilities and real estate will be the biggest beneficiaries given their sensitivity to interest rates. This is especially true as these offer higher returns due to their outsized yields. Additionally, securities in capital-intensive sectors like telecom would also benefit from lower rates. Further, lower interest rates will keep borrowing cost down, thereby resulting in higher consumer spending and rise in economic activities. This will, in turn, increase profitability across various segments. Businesses will also face lower loan rates over time.
Meanwhile, gold mining stocks will also get a boost given that these are leveraged plays on the underlying metal. The dual tailwinds of easing policies and flight to safety amid geopolitical tensions and global growth worries will raise the appeal for gold, pushing prices higher.
Given this, we have highlighted ETFs & stocks from sectors that are set to explode on lower rates.
Real Estate
Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ - Free Report), having AUM of $36.5 billion and average daily trading volume of 5.1 million shares, offers broad exposure to the real estate sector. It has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) with a Medium risk outlook.
With market cap of $18.1 billion, CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE - Free Report) operates as a commercial real estate services and investment company worldwide. This Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) stock is expected to post earnings increase of 14.33% for this year.
Utilities
Zacks #3 Ranked Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU - Free Report) provides exposure to companies from the electric utility, gas utility, multi-utility, and independent power producer and energy trader industries. It has amassed $10.9 billion in its asset base and trades in volume of 17.3 million shares per day on average.
NRG Energy Inc. (NRG - Free Report), a leading integrated power company in the United States, is expected to post earnings growth of 61.4% for this year. It has a Zacks Rank #2 and market cap of $9.87 billion.
Homebuilders
SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB - Free Report) provides exposure to the homebuilders segment with a well-diversified exposure across building products, home furnishings, home improvement retail, home furnishing retail and household appliances. It is the most popular option in the homebuilding space with AUM of $668.5 million and average daily volume of 2.3 million shares. It has a Zacks ETF Rank #3.
With a market cap of $1 billion, M/I Homes Inc. (MHO - Free Report) is one of nation's leading builders of single-family homes. It is expected to see earnings growth of 15.17% for this year and sports a Zacks ETF Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
Gold Mining
VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX - Free Report) is the most popular and actively traded gold miner ETF with AUM of $11.6 billion and average daily volume of around 51.6 million shares. Canadian firms account for half of the portfolio, while the United States (17.1%) and Australia (15.7%) round off the top three. The fund charges 52 bps in annual fees.
AngloGold Ashanti Limited (AU - Free Report) is the third-largest gold mining company in the world, measured by production. With a market cap of $8.2 billion, the stock is expected to see earnings growth of 154.7% year over year this year and sports a Zacks Rank #1.
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