Bears Take Control But Expect A Bounce Next Week

"IMO a decisive break below and failure to reclaim $390 would mean that the bull market is likely over. I wouldn’t be surprised to see it happen this week." – Top Gun Financial, Tuesday 11/30

Bears took control of the stock market this week as a result of Powell’s hawkishness, the Omicron variant, and a weak November Jobs Report. On Friday, the S&P 500 was -0.84%, the Nasdaq was -1.92%, and the Russell was -2.13%. Cathie Wood’s popular Ark Innovation ETF (ARKK) lost another 5.54%. NYSE + NASDAQ Advancers to Decliners were 1,965 to 6,055, and volume of 11.2 billion shares was strong.

However, I do expect bulls to make a stand next week – perhaps as early as Monday morning. While everything else is technically broken, the QQQ – home to the 7 stocks propping up the market – has not cracked yet. While QQQ did take out $390 last week, it found support at its 50-DMA on Friday. That seems like a natural spot for bulls to buy. However – if so – this will only be a brief respite in a new bear market.

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