The Biggest Tail Risk

Conclusion

This article shows the huge divergence among market participants and the Fed. Investors think higher than expected inflation is the biggest tail risk the market faces. The Fed is only predicting 2.4% PCE inflation and 2.2% core PCE inflation this year. If that projection is met, the Fed probably won’t hike rates in the next 3 years.

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Disclaimer: The content in this article is for general informational and entertainment purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. You agree that any decision you make will be ...

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