America Is The Spending King

Conclusion

The vaccines have already caused a peak in hospitalizations. The next step is hopefully a sharp decline in deaths per day. The final step is a return to normalcy sometime in the next few months. The coming stimulus will make America the largest spender as a percentage of its 2019 economy. This should boost inflation. It’s really not a bold call to say inflation will rise from extremely suppressed levels. That doesn’t mean markets are fully pricing in an inflationary event. It would be interesting to see an improved economy and a weak stock market. Many retail investors might flee when their stocks fall and their lives get back to normal.

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