Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of September 20 And 27
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Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
Forecast | Prior Observation | Consensus | |
Week of September 20 | |||
September 20 | |||
NAHB Index | 76 | 75 | 74 |
September 21 | |||
Housing Starts - August | 1.610M | 1.534 | 1.560 |
Building Permits | 1.670 | 1.635 | 1.600 |
Current Account - Q2 | -$190.0B | -195.7 | -191.2 |
September 22 | |||
Existing Home Sales - August | 5.780M | 5.990 | 5.880 |
FMOC | 0.125% | 0.125 | 0.25 |
September 23 | |||
Initial Unemployment Claims | 325K | 332 | 320 |
Chicago Fed National Activity Index - August | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
PMI Manufacturing - Flash | 60.8 | 61.1 | 61.5 |
PMI Services Flash | 54.8 | 55.1 | 55.0 |
Leading Indicators | 0.8% | 0.9 | 0.7 |
September 24 | |||
New Home Sales - August | 725K | 708 | 713 |
Week of September 27 | |||
September 27 | |||
Durable Goods Sales - August | 0.3% | -0.1 | |
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | 11.0 | 9.0 | |
September 28 | |||
International Trade in Goods - August | -$85.0B | -86.4 | |
Wholesale Inventories - August (a) | 1.0% | 0.6 | |
S&P Case/Shiller Index - July | |||
Twenty City M/M | 1.8% | 2.0 | |
Twenty City M/M - SA | 1.8 | 1.8 | |
Twenty City Y/Y | 20.2 | 19.1 | |
Third Quarter Twenty City Q/Q - SA | |||
FHFA Home Price Index - July | 1.6% | 1.6 | |
Consumer Confidence - September | 116.0 | 113.8 | |
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 11.0 | 9.0 | |
September 29 | |||
Pending Home Sale Index - Aug | 111.7 | 110.7 | |
September 30 | |||
Initial Unemployment Claims | |||
GDP - Q2 | 6.8% | 6.6 | |
Chicago PMI - September | 65.3 | 66.8 | |
October 1 | |||
Personal Income - August | 0.2% | 1.1 | |
Personal Spending | 0.3 | 0.3 | |
ISM (Mfg) - Sept | 59.8 | 59.9 | |
Construction Spending - August | 0.3% | 0.3 | |
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Sept (r) | 71.0 | ||
Auto Sales - September | 13.2M | 13.1 | |
Car Sales | 2.9 | 3.1 | |
Truck Sales | 10.3 | 10.0 |
Peter Morici is an economist and emeritus business professor at the University of Maryland, and a national columnist.