Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of September 2 And 9
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
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Week of September 2 |
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September 3 |
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PMI Manufacturing Index - August |
50.0 |
49.9 |
49.9 |
|
ISM (Mfg) - August |
51.3 |
51.2 |
51.0 |
|
Construction Spending - July |
0.3 |
-1.3 |
0.3 |
|
Auto Sales* - August |
17M |
16.8 |
16.9 |
|
Car Sales |
4.7 |
4.7 |
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Truck Sales |
12.3 |
12.2 |
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September 4 |
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International Trade - July |
-$53.3B |
-55.2 |
-53.5 |
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September 5 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
215K |
215 |
215 |
|
ADP Employment Report - August |
155K |
156 |
150 |
|
Productivity - Q2 (r) |
2.2% |
2.3 |
2.2 |
|
Unit Labor Costs |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
|
PMI Services Index - August |
50.9 |
50.9 |
50.9 |
|
ISM Services - August |
53.8 |
53.7 |
54.0 |
|
Factory Orders - June |
1.1% |
0.7 |
1.0 |
|
Durable Goods Orders |
2.1 |
1.9 |
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Nondurable Goods Orders |
0.0 |
-0.5 |
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September 6 |
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Nonfarm Payrolls - August |
165K |
164 |
158 |
|
Private |
155 |
148 |
148 |
|
Manufacturing |
8 |
16.0 |
8 |
|
Unemployment |
3.6% |
3.7 |
3.7 |
|
Average Workweek |
34.4Hr |
34.3 |
34.4 |
|
Average Hourly Earnings |
0.2% |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
Week of September 9 |
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September 9 |
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Consumer Credit - July |
$16.0B |
14.6 |
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September 10 |
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NFIB Small Business Optimisim Index - August |
103.5 |
104.7 |
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JOLTS - July |
7.311M |
7.348 |
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September 11 |
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Producer Price Index - August |
0.1% |
0.1 |
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PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services) |
0.2 |
0.2 |
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Wholesale Inventories - July |
0.2% |
0.2 |
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September 12 |
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Consumer Price Index - August |
0.1% |
0.3 |
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Core CPI |
0.2 |
0.3 |
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Treasury Budget - August |
-$161.0B |
-119.7 |
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September 13 |
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Retail Sales - August |
0.3% |
0.7 |
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Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.3 |
1.0 |
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Export Prices - August |
-0.5% |
0.2 |
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Import Prices |
-0.5% |
0.2 |
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Import Prices, ex-Petroleum |
-0.2% |
0.0 |
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Business Inventories - July |
0.2% |
0.0 |
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Sept (p) |
90.0 |
89.4 |
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