Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of September 16

September 16

New York Fed Manufacturing Index

5.0

4.8

4.9

September 17

Industrial Production - August

0.3%

-0.2

0.1

Capacity Utilization

77.7

77.5

77.5

Manufacturing

0.2

-0.4

0.1

NAHB Index

66

66

66

September 18

Housing Starts - August

1.250M

1.191

1.250

Building Permits

1.300

1.336

1.300

FMOC

1.875%

2.125

1.875

September 19

Initial Unemployment Claims

215K

203

215

Philadelphia Fed Survey

11.5

16.8

11.3

Current Account - Q2

-$128.5B

-130.4

-131.4

Existing Home Sales - August

5.410K

5.420

5.375

Leading Indicators

0.2

0.5

0.1

Week of September 23

September 23

Chicago Fed National Manufacturing Index - August

-0.1

-0.36

PMI Manufacturing - Flash

51.3

50.3

PMI Services Flash

51.4

50.7

September 24

S&P Case/Shiller Index - July

Ten City Y/Y

Twenty City M/M

0.4%

0.3

Twenty City M/M - SA

0.1

0.0

Twenty City Y/Y

2.4

2.2

FHFA Home Price Index - July

0.2%

0.2

Consumer Confidence - September

134.1

135.1

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

1.0

1.0

September 25

New Home Sales - August

640K

635

September 26

GDP - Q2

2.0%

2.0

GDP Implicit Price Deflator

2.4

2.4

International Trade in Goods - August

-$73.3B

-72.3

Wholesale Inventories - August (a)

0.2

0.2

Pending Home Sale Index - Aug

105.6

105.6

September 27

Durable Goods Sales - August

0.5

2.0

Personal Income - August

0.4%

0.1

Personal Spending

0.3

0.6