Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data.

Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of October 26

October 26

Chicago Fed National Activity Index

0.60

0.79

New Home Sales - September

1015K

1011

1.025

Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index

13.5

13.6

October 27

Durable Goods Sales - September

-0.2%

0.5

0.3

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

15

21

S&P Case/Shiller Index - August

Twenty City M/M

0.3%

0.6

Twenty City M/M - SA

0.4

0.6

0.5

Twenty City Y/Y

4.2

3.9

4.2

FHFA House Price Index - August

0.7%

1.0

Consumer Confidence

101.5

101.8

102.5

Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index

18

21

October 28

International Trade in Goods - September (a)

-$85.4B

-82.9

-84.0

Wholesale Inventories - September (a)

0.4%

0.4

October 29

Initial Unemployment Claims

785K

787

780

GDP - Q3 (a)

30.0%

-31.4

31.9

GDP Implicit Price Deflator

Pending Home Sale Index - September

132.8

132.8

October 30

Personal Income - September

0.4%

-2.7

0.5

Personal Spending

1.0

1.0

1

Chicago PMI

58.3

62.4

59.3

Employment Cost Index - Q3

0.5%

0.5

Employment Cost Index - Y/Y

2.5

2.7

Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - Oct (r)

81.2

81.2

81.2

Week of November 2

November 2

PMI Manufacturing Index - October

53.3

53.3

ISM (Mfg) - October

55.5

55.4

Construction Spending - September

1.0%

1.4

November 3

Factory Orders - September

0.3%

0.7

Durable Goods Orders

-0.2

0.5

Nondurable Goods Orders

0.7

0.8

Auto Sales* - September

16.40%

16.3

Car Sales

3.8

3.8

Truck Sales

12.6

12.6

November 4

ADP Employment Report - October

749

International Trade - September

-$70.3B

-67.1

PMI Services Index

56.0

56.0

ISM Services - October

57.8

57.8

Novenber 5

Productivity - Q3 (p)

3.3%

10.1

Unit Labor Costs

-9.8

9.0

November 6

Nonfarm Payrolls - October

800K

661

Private

875

887

Manufacturing

55

66

Unemployment

7.7%

7.9

Average Workweek

34.7HR

34.7

Average Hourly Earnings

0.2%

0.1

Consumer Credit - September

14.0M

7.2