Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of October 19 And 26
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
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Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
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Week of October 19 |
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October 19 |
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NAHB Index |
83 |
83 |
82 |
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October 20 |
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Housing Starts - September |
1.475M |
1.416 |
1445 |
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October 22 |
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Initial Unemployment Claims |
875K |
898 |
861 |
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Leading Indicators |
0.9% |
1.2 |
0.8 |
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Existing Home Sales - September |
6.400M |
6.000 |
6.184 |
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October 23 |
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PMI Manufacturing Flash Index |
53.2 |
53.1 |
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PMI Services Flash Index |
54.6 |
54.6 |
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Week of October 26 |
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October 26 |
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Chicago Fed National Activity Index |
0.60 |
0.79 |
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New Home Sales - September |
1000K |
1011 |
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Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
13.5 |
13.6 |
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October 27 |
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Durable Goods Sales - September |
1.8% |
0.5 |
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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
15 |
21 |
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S&P Case/Shiller Index - August |
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Twenty City M/M |
0.3% |
0.6 |
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Twenty City M/M - SA |
0.4 |
0.6 |
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Twenty City Y/Y |
4.2 |
3.9 |
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FHFA House Price Index - August |
0.7% |
1.0 |
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Consumer Confidence |
101.5 |
101.8 |
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Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
18 |
21 |
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October 28 |
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International Trade in Goods - September (a) |
-$85.4B |
-82.9 |
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Wholesale Inventories - September (a) |
0.3% |
0.4 |
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October 29 |
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GDP - Q3 (a) |
30.0% |
-31.4 |
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Pending Home Sale Index - September |
132.8 |
132.8 |
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October 30 |
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Personal Income - September |
0.5% |
-2.7 |
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Personal Spending |
0.0% |
1.0 |
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Chicago PMI |
58.0 |
62.4 |
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Employment Cost Index - Q3 |
0.5% |
0.5 |
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Employment Cost Index - Y/Y |
2.5 |
2.7 |
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Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index - Oct (r) |
81.2 |
81.2 |
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