Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of Oct. 12 And 19
Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. |
|||
Forecast |
Prior Observation |
Consensus |
|
Week of October 12 |
|||
October 13 |
|||
NFIB Small Business Optimism Index - September |
100.8 |
100.2 |
|
Consumer Price Index - September |
0.2% |
0.4 |
0.2 |
Core CPI |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
October 14 |
|||
Producer Price Index - September |
0.2% |
0.3 |
0.2 |
PPI Core (less food, energy and trade services) |
0.1 |
0.3 |
|
October 15 |
|||
Initial Unemployment Claims |
840K |
840 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Survey |
15.0 |
15.0 |
|
New York Fed Manufacturing Index |
17.0 |
17.0 |
|
Export Prices - September |
0.4% |
0.5 |
|
Import Prices |
0.3 |
0.9 |
|
Import Prices, ex-Energy |
0.6 |
0.7 |
|
October 16 |
|||
Retail Sales - September |
0.8% |
0.6 |
0.6 |
Retail Sales, ex Autos |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
Retail Sales, ex Autos and Gas |
0.6 |
0.7 |
|
Industrial Production - September |
0.8% |
0.4 |
0.6 |
Capacity Utilization |
72.2 |
71.4 |
71.9 |
Manufacturing |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
Business Inventories - August |
0.4% |
0.1 |
0.4 |
Treasury Budget - September |
-$160.0B |
-200.1 |
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October (p) |
82.0 |
80.4 |
81.0 |
Week of October 19 |
|||
October 19 |
|||
NAHB Index |
83 |
83 |
|
October 20 |
|||
Housing Starts - September |
1.475M |
1.416 |
|
Building Permits |
1.530 |
1.470 |
|
October 21 |
|||
October 22 |
|||
Leading Indicators |
0.9% |
1.2 |
|
Existing Home Sales - September |
6.400M |
6.000 |
|
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index |
15 |
21 |
|
Kansas City Fed Index |
11 |
11 |
|
Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland, and widely published columnist. He is the five time winner of the MarketWatch best forecaster ...
more