Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of November 29 And December 6
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
| Forecast | Prior Observation | ||
Week of November 29 |
|
|
|
November 29 |
|
|
|
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index |
14.60 |
14.6 |
|
Pending Home Sale Index - October |
117.0 |
116.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
November 30 |
|
|
|
S&P Case/Shiller Index - September |
|
|
|
Twenty City M/M |
1.0% |
0.9 |
|
Twenty City M/M - SA |
1.0 |
1.2 |
|
Twenty City Y/Y |
19.3 |
19.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
FHFA Housing Price Index - Sept |
1.0% |
1.0 |
|
Consumer Confidence - November |
109.8 |
113.8 |
110.7 |
Chicago PMI |
68.4 |
68.4 |
68.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
December 1 |
|
|
|
ADP Employment Report - November |
420K |
571 |
480 |
|
|
|
|
|
PMI Manufacturing Index - November |
59.1 |
59.1 |
|
ISM (Mfg) - November |
60.8 |
60.8 |
61.0 |
Construction Spending - October |
0.8% |
-0.5 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
Auto Sales - November |
13.1M |
13.1 |
|
Car Sales |
2.8 |
2.6 |
|
Truck Sales |
10.3 |
10.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 2 |
|
|
|
Initial Unemployment Claims |
225K |
199 |
250 |
|
|
|
|
|
December 3 |
|
|
|
Nonfarm Payrolls - November |
480K |
531 |
500 |
Private |
460 |
604 |
483 |
Manufacturing |
50 |
60 |
48 |
Unemployment |
4.5% |
4.6 |
4.5 |
Average Workweek |
34.7HR |
34.7 |
34.7 |
Average Hourly Earnings |
0.4% |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
PMI Services Index - November |
57.0 |
57.0 |
|
ISM Services - November |
66.7 |
66.7 |
65.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
Factory Orders - October |
0.2% |
0.2 |
|
Durable Goods Orders |
-0.5 |
-0.3 |
|
Nondurable Goods Orders |
0.8 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Week of December 6 |
|
|
|
December 6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 7 |
|
|
|
International Trade - October |
-$65.4B |
-80.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Productivity - Q3 (r) |
-4.0%% |
-5.0 |
|
Unit Labor Costs |
7.3 |
8.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumer Credit - October |
$25.0B |
29.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 8 |
|
|
|
JOLTS-October |
10.438B |
10.438 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 9 |
|
|
|
Initial Unemployment Claims |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wholesale Inventories - October (p) |
|
2.2 |
|
Wholesale Sales |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 10 |
|
|
|
Consumer Price Index - November |
0.5% |
0.9 |
|
Core CPI |
0.3 |
0.6 |
|
Energy |
|
4.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Treasury Budget - November |
-$195.0B |
-165.1 |
|
Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Dec (p) |
67.4 |
67.4 |
|
Peter Morici is an economist and emeritus business professor at the University of Maryland, and a national columnist.
How did you like this article? Let us know so we can better customize your reading experience.
Comments
Leave a comment to automatically be entered into
our contest to win a free Echo Show.
