Economic Data Forecasts For The Weeks Of March 22 And 29
| Here are my forecasts for upcoming economic data. | |||
| Forecast | Prior Observation | Consensus | |
| Week of March 22 | |||
| March 22 | |||
| Chicago Fed National Activity Index - February | 0.85 | 0.66 | |
| Existing Home Sales - February | 6.490M | 6.690 | 6.490 |
| March 23 | |||
| Current Account - Q4 | -$184.2B | -178.5 | -188.5 |
| New Home Sales - February | 860K | 923 | 880 |
| Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index | 14 | 14 | |
| March 24 | |||
| Durable Goods Orders - February | -0.5% | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| PMI Manufacturing Flash Index | 59.0 | 58.6 | 59.4 |
| PMI Services Flash Index | 60.0 | 59.8 | 60.2 |
| March 25 | |||
| Initial Unemployment Claims | 745K | 770 | 730 |
| GDP - Q4 (f) | 4.4% | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index | 27 | 24 | |
| March 26 | |||
| International Trade in Goods - February | -$84.8B | -84.6 | |
| Wholesale Inventories (a) - February | 1.2% | 1.3 | |
| Personal Income - February | -7.2% | 10.5 | -7.3 |
| Personal Spending - February | 0.0 | 2.4 | -0.7 |
| Core PCE Price Index | 0.3 | 0.4 | |
| PCE Price Index | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Michigan Consumer Sentiment - March (f) | 83.0 | 83.0 | 83.5 |
| Week of March 29 | |||
| March 29 | |||
| Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index | 12.5 | 17.2 | |
| March 30 | |||
| S&P Case/Shiller Index - January | |||
| Twenty City M/M | 0.8% | 0.8 | |
| Twenty City M/M - SA | 1.2 | 1.3 | |
| Twenty City Y/Y | 11.0 | 10.1 | |
| FHFA Housing Price Index - January | 0.8% | 1.1 | |
| Consumer Confidence Index - March | 93.1 | 91.3 | |
| March 31 | |||
| ADP Employment Report - March | 385K | 117 | |
| Chicago PMI - March | 60.0 | 59.5 | |
| Pending Home Sale Index - February | 120.0 | 122.8 | |
| April 1 | |||
| ISM (Mfg) - March | 59.8 | 60.8 | |
| ISM Prices | |||
| Construction Spending - February | -0.8% | 1.7 | |
| Auto Sales* - March | 15.8M | 15.7 | |
| Car Sales | 3.5 | 3.4 | |
| Truck Sales | 12.3 | 12.2 | |
| Nonfarm Payrolls - March | 480K | 379 | |
| Private | 470 | 465 | |
| Manufacturing | 40 | 21 | |
| Unemployment | 6.1% | 6.2 | |
| Average Workweek | 34.8HR | 34.6 | |
| Average Hourly Earnings | 0.2% | 0.2 | |
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