Forecast

Prior Observation

Consensus

Week of January 17

January 18

NY Fed Manufacturing Index - January

25.9

31.9

25.0

NAHB Index - January

84

84

84

January 19

Housing Starts - December

1.680

1.679

1.650

Building Permits

1.720

1.712

1.701

January 20

Initial Unemployment Claims

220K

230

220

Philadelphia Fed Index

27.2

15.4

20.0

Existing Home Sales - December

6.390

6.460

6.430

January 21

Leading Indicators

0.8%

1.1

0.8

Week of January 24

January 24

Chicago Fed Natonal Activity Index - December

0.25

0.37

PMI Manufacturing Flash Index - January

57.7

57.7

January 25

S&P Case/Shiller Index - November

Twenty City M/M

0.7

0.8

Twenty City M/M - SA

1.0

0.9

Twenty City Y/Y

18.0

18.4

FHFA Housing Market Index - November

1.0%

1.1

Consumer Confidence - January 

113.8

115.8

Richmond Fed Index

14

16

January 26

International Trade in Goods (a)

-$95.0B

-97.8

Wholesale Inventories (a)

1.4%

1.4

New Home Sales - December

775K

744

FMOC

0.125%

0.125

January 27

GDP - Q4 (a)

6.4%

2.3

Durable Goods Orders - December

0.0%

2.6

Pending Home Sales - December 

122.4

122.4

January 28

Employment Cost Index - Q4

0.9%

1.3

Employment Cost Index - Y/Y

3.9

3.7

Personal Income - December

0.4%

0.4

Personal Spending

-0.1

0.6

Michigan Consumer Sentiment - February (f)

68.8

68.8